Matt Callicott

Week 16 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability
Army* Navy 54.2%

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 15 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Texas* Georgia 52.05% Georgia 22 - 19 ❌
Louisiana Marshall 53.71% Marshall 31 - 3 ❌
SMU* Clemson 53.75% Clemson 34 - 31 ✅
Oregon* Penn State 54.33% Oregon 45 - 37 ❌
Miami (OH)* Ohio 55.19% Ohio 38 - 3 ❌
Arizona State* Iowa State 57.7% Arizona State 45 - 19 ❌
Boise State UNLV 62.86% Boise State 21 - 7 ✅
Jacksonville State Western Kentucky 63.43% Jacksonville State 52 - 12 ❌
Army Tulane 64.18% Army 35 - 14 ❌
2 ✅ : 7 ❌ (22.22%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 14 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
San José State Stanford 50.11% San José State 34 - 31 ✅
Texas Tech West Virginia 50.69% Texas Tech 52 - 15 ❌
Cincinnati TCU 51.58% TCU 20 - 13 ✅
UCF Utah 51.86% Utah 28 - 14 ✅
Colorado State Utah State 52.28% Colorado State 42 - 37 ❌
Wisconsin Minnesota 52.7% Minnesota 24 - 7 ❌
LSU Oklahoma 53.23% LSU 37 - 17 ❌
Hawai'i New Mexico 53.95% Hawai'i 38 - 30 ❌
Iowa State Kansas State 54.46% Iowa State 29 - 21 ✅
Arizona Arizona State 54.51% Arizona State 49 - 7 ✅
Baylor Kansas 54.97% Baylor 45 - 17 ✅
Boston College Pittsburgh 56.02% Boston College 34 - 23 ❌
Western Michigan Eastern Michigan 56.15% Western Michigan 26 - 18 ✅
New Mexico State UTEP 56.28% UTEP 42 - 35 ❌
Western Kentucky Jacksonville State 56.87% Western Kentucky 19 - 17 ❌
Clemson South Carolina 57.92% South Carolina 17 - 14 ✅
Kentucky Louisville 58.52% Louisville 41 - 14 ✅
Tulsa Florida Atlantic 59.06% Florida Atlantic 63 - 16 ✅
Florida International* Middle Tennessee 59.1% Florida International 35 - 24 ✅
Bowling Green Miami (OH) 59.24% Miami (OH) 28 - 12 ✅
East Carolina Navy 59.55% Navy 34 - 20 ✅
Charlotte UAB 60.07% Charlotte 29 - 27 ❌
San Diego State Air Force 62.18% Air Force 31 - 20 ✅
North Carolina NC State 62.74% NC State 35 - 30 ❌
Missouri Arkansas 63.69% Missouri 28 - 21 ✅
Arkansas State Old Dominion 64.31% Old Dominion 40 - 32 ✅
Rice South Florida 64.85% Rice 35 - 28 ❌
Louisiana Tech Kennesaw State 64.99% Louisiana Tech 33 - 0 ✅
Michigan State Rutgers 65.68% Rutgers 41 - 14 ✅
UCLA Fresno State 66.04% UCLA 20 - 13 ✅
James Madison Marshall 66.62% Tie 33 - 33 ❌
Georgia State Coastal Carolina 66.76% Coastal Carolina 48 - 27 ✅
Florida State Florida 66.78% Florida 31 - 11 ✅
Wake Forest Duke 67.03% Tie 17 - 17 ❌
Northwestern* Illinois 68.31% Illinois 38 - 28 ✅
Ohio State Michigan 68.62% Michigan 13 - 10 ❌
Temple North Texas 69.2% North Texas 24 - 17 ✅
Texas A&M Texas 69.68% Texas 17 - 7 ✅
Iowa Nebraska 70.21% Iowa 13 - 10 ✅
Syracuse Miami 70.25% Syracuse 42 - 38 ❌
Virginia Tech Virginia 71.13% Virginia Tech 37 - 17 ✅
Boise State Oregon State 71.79% Boise State 34 - 18 ✅
SMU California 71.88% SMU 38 - 6 ✅
Northern Illinois Central Michigan 72.26% Northern Illinois 24 - 16 ✅
BYU Houston 72.75% BYU 30 - 18 ✅
Colorado Oklahoma State 72.8% Colorado 52 - 0 ✅
South Alabama Texas State 74.41% Texas State 45 - 38 ❌
Oregon Washington 74.68% Oregon 49 - 21 ✅
UNLV Nevada 75.59% UNLV 38 - 14 ✅
Washington State Wyoming 78.45% Wyoming 15 - 14 ❌
Georgia Georgia Tech 78.65% Tie 42 - 42 ❌
USC Notre Dame 78.97% Notre Dame 49 - 35 ✅
Akron Toledo 78.98% Tie 14 - 14 ❌
Vanderbilt Tennessee 79.73% Tennessee 36 - 23 ✅
Ohio Ball State 79.85% Ohio 42 - 21 ✅
Tulane Memphis 80.65% Memphis 34 - 24 ❌
Alabama Auburn 81.9% Alabama 28 - 14 ✅
Buffalo Kent State 84.81% Buffalo 43 - 7 ✅
Indiana Purdue 88.1% Indiana 66 - 0 ✅
Penn State Maryland 89.5% Penn State 44 - 7 ✅
Ole Miss Mississippi State 92.49% Ole Miss 26 - 14 ✅
41 ✅ : 20 ❌ (67.21%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 13 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Florida Atlantic Charlotte 50.36% Charlotte 39 - 27 ✅
Oklahoma State Texas Tech 50.53% Texas Tech 56 - 48 ❌
Michigan State Purdue 50.74% Michigan State 24 - 17 ✅
Duke Virginia Tech 51.02% Duke 31 - 28 ✅
Kansas* Colorado 51.06% Kansas 37 - 21 ✅
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 51.23% Buffalo 37 - 20 ✅
Old Dominion Marshall 51.46% Marshall 42 - 35 ❌
UAB Rice 51.82% UAB 40 - 14 ✅
Louisiana Troy 52.62% Louisiana 51 - 30 ❌
Toledo Ohio 52.88% Ohio 24 - 7 ❌
Nevada Air Force 54.17% Air Force 22 - 19 ✅
Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern 54.27% Georgia Southern 26 - 6 ✅
Rutgers Illinois 54.56% Illinois 38 - 31 ✅
Utah Iowa State 54.62% Iowa State 31 - 28 ✅
Miami (OH) Northern Illinois 55.11% Miami (OH) 20 - 9 ✅
West Virginia UCF 55.66% West Virginia 31 - 21 ✅
Auburn Texas A&M 58.18% Auburn 43 - 41 ❌
Utah State San Diego State 59.03% Utah State 41 - 20 ✅
Arizona State BYU 59.54% Arizona State 28 - 23 ❌
Texas State Georgia State 60.04% Georgia State 52 - 44 ❌
Oregon State Washington State 60.6% Oregon State 41 - 38 ❌
Boston College North Carolina 61.39% Boston College 41 - 21 ❌
Fresno State Colorado State 62.51% Fresno State 28 - 22 ✅
Liberty Western Kentucky 63.49% Liberty 38 - 21 ❌
Central Michigan Western Michigan 64.15% Central Michigan 16 - 14 ❌
Kent State Akron 64.52% Akron 38 - 17 ✅
Middle Tennessee New Mexico State 65.51% New Mexico State 36 - 21 ❌
Georgia Tech NC State 65.85% Georgia Tech 30 - 29 ✅
Nebraska Wisconsin 66.92% Nebraska 44 - 25 ❌
San José State UNLV 67.45% UNLV 27 - 16 ✅
TCU Arizona 68.05% TCU 49 - 28 ✅
UCLA USC 68.19% USC 19 - 13 ✅
Louisville Pittsburgh 68.68% Louisville 37 - 9 ✅
California Stanford 68.92% California 24 - 21 ✅
Mississippi State Missouri 69.59% Missouri 39 - 20 ✅
Ball State Bowling Green 69.88% Bowling Green 38 - 13 ✅
North Texas East Carolina 70.19% East Carolina 40 - 28 ❌
Virginia SMU 70.93% SMU 33 - 7 ✅
South Florida Tulsa 71.41% South Florida 63 - 30 ✅
Kennesaw State Florida International 72.77% Kennesaw State 27 - 26 ❌
Houston Baylor 72.86% Baylor 20 - 10 ✅
Maryland Iowa 73.04% Iowa 29 - 13 ✅
LSU Vanderbilt 73.39% LSU 24 - 17 ✅
Kansas State Cincinnati 75.25% Kansas State 41 - 15 ✅
Oklahoma Alabama 75.32% Oklahoma 24 - 3 ❌
Minnesota Penn State 75.94% Penn State 26 - 25 ✅
Ohio State Indiana 77.22% Ohio State 38 - 15 ✅
Florida Ole Miss 77.87% Florida 24 - 17 ❌
Michigan Northwestern 79.0% Michigan 50 - 6 ✅
Texas Kentucky 79.92% Texas 31 - 14 ✅
Miami Wake Forest 83.59% Miami 42 - 14 ✅
Notre Dame* Army 83.7% Notre Dame 49 - 14 ✅
Arkansas Louisiana Tech 83.73% Arkansas 35 - 14 ✅
Wyoming Boise State 85.38% Boise State 17 - 13 ✅
Florida State Charleston Southern 94.83% Florida State 41 - 7 ✅
Clemson The Citadel 97.14% Clemson 51 - 14 ✅
South Carolina Wofford 97.74% South Carolina 56 - 12 ✅
Tennessee UTEP 98.68% Tennessee 56 - 0 ✅
41 ✅ : 17 ❌ (70.69%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 12 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Georgia State Arkansas State 52.39% Arkansas State 27 - 20 ❌
Marshall Coastal Carolina 52.68% Marshall 31 - 19 ❌
West Virginia Baylor 52.69% Baylor 49 - 35 ❌
Colorado State Wyoming 52.91% Colorado State 24 - 10 ✅
Georgia Southern Troy 55.15% Troy 28 - 20 ❌
Florida LSU 55.5% Florida 27 - 16 ❌
Illinois Michigan State 56.14% Illinois 38 - 16 ✅
Arizona Houston 56.74% Arizona 27 - 3 ✅
Colorado Utah 57.01% Colorado 49 - 24 ✅
Utah State Hawai'i 57.71% Utah State 58 - 10 ✅
Temple Florida Atlantic 57.82% Temple 18 - 15 ❌
Maryland Rutgers 58.12% Rutgers 31 - 17 ❌
Bowling Green Western Michigan 58.93% Bowling Green 31 - 13 ✅
California Syracuse 59.9% Syracuse 33 - 25 ❌
Buffalo Ball State 61.5% Tie 45 - 45 ❌
BYU Kansas 62.73% Kansas 17 - 13 ❌
Louisiana South Alabama 62.93% South Alabama 24 - 22 ✅
South Carolina Missouri 63.42% South Carolina 34 - 30 ✅
Ohio Eastern Michigan 63.44% Ohio 35 - 10 ✅
Washington UCLA 63.63% Washington 31 - 19 ✅
Charlotte South Florida 65.24% South Florida 59 - 24 ✅
Tulsa East Carolina 65.45% East Carolina 38 - 31 ✅
Georgia Tennessee 65.7% Georgia 31 - 17 ✅
Navy Tulane 66.36% Tulane 35 - 0 ✅
Air Force Oregon State 67.15% Air Force 28 - 0 ❌
USC Nebraska 70.85% USC 28 - 20 ✅
Western Kentucky Louisiana Tech 72.08% Louisiana Tech 12 - 7 ❌
Jacksonville State Florida International 72.78% Jacksonville State 34 - 31 ✅
San José State Boise State 73.32% Boise State 42 - 21 ✅
Wisconsin Oregon 74.48% Oregon 16 - 13 ✅
Northern Illinois Akron 74.71% Northern Illinois 29 - 16 ✅
Iowa State Cincinnati 74.72% Iowa State 34 - 17 ✅
Kansas State Arizona State 75.24% Arizona State 24 - 14 ❌
Pittsburgh Clemson 75.46% Clemson 24 - 20 ✅
UNLV San Diego State 75.51% UNLV 41 - 20 ✅
SMU Boston College 75.98% SMU 38 - 28 ✅
Old Dominion James Madison 76.56% James Madison 35 - 32 ✅
North Carolina Wake Forest 76.75% North Carolina 31 - 24 ✅
Toledo Central Michigan 77.47% Toledo 37 - 10 ✅
Memphis UAB 77.95% Memphis 53 - 18 ✅
Stanford Louisville 82.13% Stanford 38 - 35 ❌
New Mexico Washington State 86.27% New Mexico 38 - 35 ❌
Arkansas Texas 88.21% Texas 20 - 10 ✅
Miami (OH) Kent State 89.47% Miami (OH) 34 - 7 ✅
Northwestern* Ohio State 91.5% Ohio State 31 - 7 ✅
Notre Dame Virginia 92.94% Notre Dame 35 - 14 ✅
Purdue Penn State 94.62% Penn State 49 - 10 ✅
Texas A&M New Mexico State 97.24% Texas A&M 38 - 3 ✅
Kentucky Murray State 97.25% Kentucky 48 - 6 ✅
Alabama Mercer 98.67% Alabama 52 - 7 ✅
35 ✅ : 15 ❌ (70.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 11 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Utah BYU 51.59% BYU 22 - 21 ❌
Boston College Syracuse 52.04% Boston College 37 - 31 ❌
UTEP Kennesaw State 52.7% UTEP 43 - 35 ✅
Texas Tech Colorado 54.64% Colorado 41 - 27 ✅
Arizona State UCF 54.78% Arizona State 35 - 31 ✅
TCU Oklahoma State 55.34% TCU 38 - 13 ✅
Ole Miss Georgia 55.84% Ole Miss 28 - 10 ❌
Missouri Oklahoma 57.37% Missouri 30 - 23 ❌
Indiana Michigan 58.04% Indiana 20 - 15 ❌
Air Force Fresno State 58.82% Air Force 36 - 28 ❌
East Carolina Florida Atlantic 58.88% East Carolina 49 - 14 ✅
San Diego State New Mexico 58.95% New Mexico 21 - 16 ❌
NC State Duke 58.99% Duke 29 - 19 ✅
Kansas* Iowa State 59.59% Kansas 45 - 36 ❌
Pittsburgh Virginia 60.82% Virginia 24 - 19 ❌
Cincinnati West Virginia 61.39% West Virginia 31 - 24 ❌
Virginia Tech Clemson 61.48% Clemson 24 - 14 ✅
Louisiana Arkansas State 63.17% Louisiana 55 - 19 ✅
Rutgers Minnesota 63.25% Rutgers 26 - 19 ❌
Georgia Tech Miami 63.69% Georgia Tech 28 - 23 ❌
South Florida Navy 63.92% Navy 28 - 7 ✅
Western Michigan Northern Illinois 65.43% Northern Illinois 42 - 28 ✅
Wake Forest California 66.04% California 46 - 36 ✅
LSU Alabama 66.35% Alabama 42 - 13 ✅
North Texas Army 66.73% Army 14 - 3 ✅
Oregon State San José State 69.28% San José State 24 - 13 ❌
Ball State Miami (OH) 69.63% Miami (OH) 27 - 21 ✅
Memphis Rice 69.83% Memphis 27 - 20 ✅
Middle Tennessee Liberty 71.67% Liberty 37 - 17 ✅
James Madison Georgia State 73.04% James Madison 38 - 7 ✅
Penn State Washington 73.72% Penn State 35 - 6 ✅
Louisiana Tech Jacksonville State 74.16% Jacksonville State 44 - 37 ✅
UCLA Iowa 74.33% UCLA 20 - 17 ❌
Vanderbilt South Carolina 75.46% South Carolina 28 - 7 ✅
Texas Florida 76.74% Texas 49 - 17 ✅
Central Michigan Bowling Green 80.0% Bowling Green 23 - 13 ✅
Kent State Ohio 80.82% Ohio 41 - 0 ✅
Hawai'i UNLV 81.71% UNLV 29 - 27 ✅
New Mexico State Western Kentucky 82.24% Western Kentucky 41 - 28 ✅
Washington State Utah State 82.51% Washington State 49 - 28 ✅
Notre Dame Florida State 83.68% Notre Dame 52 - 3 ✅
Oregon Maryland 85.99% Oregon 39 - 18 ✅
Boise State Nevada 87.17% Boise State 28 - 21 ✅
Tennessee Mississippi State 88.44% Tennessee 33 - 14 ✅
Tulane Temple 94.21% Tulane 52 - 6 ✅
Ohio State Purdue 94.71% Ohio State 45 - 0 ✅
32 ✅ : 14 ❌ (69.57%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 10 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Nebraska UCLA 50.01% UCLA 27 - 20 ❌
UTEP Middle Tennessee 50.25% Middle Tennessee 20 - 13 ❌
New Mexico Wyoming 50.37% Wyoming 49 - 45 ✅
Washington USC 50.79% Washington 26 - 21 ✅
Florida International* New Mexico State 50.87% Florida International 34 - 13 ✅
UCF Arizona 51.09% UCF 56 - 12 ✅
Nevada Colorado State 51.17% Colorado State 38 - 21 ❌
Iowa Wisconsin 51.48% Iowa 42 - 10 ✅
Illinois Minnesota 51.49% Minnesota 25 - 17 ✅
Baylor TCU 52.4% Baylor 37 - 34 ✅
Michigan Oregon 53.75% Oregon 38 - 17 ✅
South Carolina Texas A&M 53.93% South Carolina 44 - 20 ❌
UAB Tulsa 54.3% UAB 59 - 21 ✅
Troy Coastal Carolina 54.64% Troy 38 - 24 ❌
Penn State Ohio State 54.92% Ohio State 20 - 13 ✅
Florida State North Carolina 57.27% North Carolina 35 - 11 ❌
Texas State Louisiana 58.91% Louisiana 23 - 17 ✅
Clemson Louisville 58.95% Louisville 33 - 21 ❌
Syracuse Virginia Tech 59.32% Syracuse 38 - 31 ❌
Oklahoma State Arizona State 59.77% Arizona State 42 - 21 ❌
Florida Atlantic South Florida 59.81% South Florida 44 - 21 ✅
SMU Pittsburgh 61.43% SMU 48 - 25 ✅
NC State Stanford 61.73% NC State 59 - 28 ✅
Purdue Northwestern 62.37% Northwestern 26 - 20 ✅
Liberty Jacksonville State 62.42% Jacksonville State 31 - 21 ✅
Miami Duke 66.56% Miami 53 - 31 ✅
Akron Buffalo 66.75% Buffalo 41 - 30 ✅
Auburn Vanderbilt 66.76% Vanderbilt 17 - 7 ❌
Army Air Force 70.14% Army 20 - 3 ✅
Eastern Michigan Toledo 70.31% Toledo 29 - 28 ✅
Rice Navy 73.06% Rice 24 - 10 ❌
Arkansas Ole Miss 73.88% Ole Miss 63 - 31 ✅
Michigan State Indiana 74.62% Indiana 47 - 10 ✅
Western Kentucky Kennesaw State 75.06% Western Kentucky 31 - 14 ✅
Fresno State Hawai'i 76.33% Hawai'i 21 - 20 ❌
Georgia* Florida 77.63% Georgia 34 - 20 ✅
Iowa State Texas Tech 77.88% Texas Tech 23 - 22 ❌
Tennessee Kentucky 77.89% Tennessee 28 - 18 ✅
South Alabama Georgia Southern 80.76% Georgia Southern 34 - 30 ❌
Charlotte Tulane 84.17% Tulane 34 - 3 ✅
Boise State San Diego State 84.81% Boise State 56 - 24 ✅
Houston Kansas State 85.35% Houston 24 - 19 ❌
Oklahoma Maine 97.79% Oklahoma 59 - 14 ✅
28 ✅ : 15 ❌ (65.12%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 9 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Wyoming Utah State 50.73% Utah State 27 - 25 ❌
Stanford Wake Forest 51.09% Wake Forest 27 - 24 ✅
Baylor Oklahoma State 51.2% Baylor 38 - 28 ✅
Indiana Washington 52.23% Indiana 31 - 17 ✅
Kentucky Auburn 52.54% Auburn 24 - 10 ❌
Pittsburgh Syracuse 53.02% Pittsburgh 41 - 13 ✅
Old Dominion Georgia Southern 53.17% Old Dominion 47 - 19 ❌
Virginia North Carolina 53.32% North Carolina 41 - 14 ✅
Virginia Tech Georgia Tech 53.35% Virginia Tech 21 - 6 ❌
Fresno State San José State 54.27% Fresno State 33 - 10 ✅
Texas A&M LSU 54.71% Texas A&M 38 - 23 ✅
Toledo Bowling Green 54.96% Bowling Green 41 - 26 ❌
Mississippi State Arkansas 56.23% Arkansas 58 - 25 ✅
Duke SMU 56.86% SMU 28 - 27 ✅
Colorado State New Mexico 57.01% Colorado State 17 - 6 ✅
Minnesota Maryland 57.46% Minnesota 48 - 23 ✅
Arizona West Virginia 58.14% West Virginia 31 - 26 ❌
Arkansas State Troy 59.23% Arkansas State 34 - 31 ❌
TCU Texas Tech 60.59% TCU 35 - 34 ✅
UNLV Boise State 61.35% Boise State 29 - 24 ✅
California Oregon State 62.52% California 44 - 7 ❌
Miami Florida State 63.06% Miami 36 - 14 ✅
Ole Miss Oklahoma 63.55% Ole Miss 26 - 14 ✅
Ohio Buffalo 63.64% Ohio 47 - 16 ✅
Hawai'i Nevada 64.68% Hawai'i 34 - 13 ❌
Colorado Cincinnati 64.96% Colorado 34 - 23 ✅
Wisconsin Penn State 65.36% Penn State 28 - 13 ✅
East Carolina Temple 66.05% East Carolina 56 - 34 ✅
UCF BYU 67.58% BYU 37 - 24 ✅
Louisiana Tech UTEP 67.63% Louisiana Tech 14 - 10 ✅
Alabama Missouri 70.35% Alabama 34 - 0 ✅
Boston College Louisville 70.54% Louisville 31 - 27 ✅
North Texas Tulane 71.93% Tulane 45 - 37 ✅
Miami (OH) Central Michigan 72.62% Miami (OH) 46 - 7 ✅
Iowa Northwestern 72.89% Iowa 40 - 14 ✅
Jacksonville State Middle Tennessee 73.35% Jacksonville State 42 - 20 ✅
Houston Utah 73.94% Houston 17 - 14 ❌
USC Rutgers 74.22% USC 42 - 20 ✅
Ball State Northern Illinois 74.92% Ball State 25 - 23 ❌
Oregon Illinois 76.86% Oregon 38 - 9 ✅
Kansas State Kansas 78.01% Kansas State 29 - 27 ✅
Michigan Michigan State 81.63% Michigan 24 - 17 ✅
Akron Eastern Michigan 82.52% Akron 25 - 21 ❌
Memphis Charlotte 83.1% Memphis 33 - 28 ✅
San Diego State Washington State 83.23% Washington State 29 - 26 ✅
Western Michigan Kent State 83.56% Western Michigan 52 - 21 ✅
Navy* Notre Dame 87.62% Notre Dame 51 - 14 ✅
Ohio State Nebraska 88.6% Ohio State 21 - 17 ✅
Kennesaw State Liberty 92.31% Kennesaw State 27 - 24 ❌
Vanderbilt Texas 93.04% Texas 27 - 24 ✅
37 ✅ : 13 ❌ (74.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 8 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Old Dominion Texas State 50.02% Old Dominion 24 - 14 ❌
Florida Kentucky 50.09% Florida 48 - 20 ❌
Air Force Colorado State 51.83% Colorado State 21 - 13 ❌
New Mexico State Louisiana Tech 52.11% New Mexico State 33 - 30 ❌
Rutgers UCLA 52.14% UCLA 35 - 32 ❌
Indiana Nebraska 52.39% Indiana 56 - 7 ✅
Northern Illinois Toledo 52.94% Toledo 13 - 6 ✅
Marshall Georgia State 53.18% Marshall 35 - 20 ❌
Duke Florida State 53.91% Duke 23 - 16 ❌
Temple Tulsa 55.16% Temple 20 - 10 ❌
Texas Georgia 55.63% Georgia 30 - 15 ❌
Texas Tech Baylor 56.22% Baylor 59 - 35 ❌
Eastern Michigan Central Michigan 56.35% Eastern Michigan 38 - 34 ✅
Utah State New Mexico 56.58% Utah State 14 - 0 ✅
Tennessee Alabama 57.66% Tennessee 24 - 17 ❌
Kansas* Houston 58.06% Kansas 42 - 14 ✅
Nevada Fresno State 58.19% Fresno State 24 - 21 ✅
Louisville Miami 58.19% Miami 52 - 45 ❌
Cincinnati Arizona State 58.33% Cincinnati 24 - 14 ✅
Coastal Carolina Louisiana 58.36% Louisiana 34 - 24 ✅
Buffalo Western Michigan 58.5% Western Michigan 48 - 41 ❌
Miami (OH) Ohio 59.16% Miami (OH) 30 - 20 ✅
Oregon State UNLV 60.9% UNLV 33 - 25 ❌
UTEP Florida International 61.12% UTEP 30 - 21 ✅
Arkansas LSU 62.04% LSU 34 - 10 ✅
Arizona Colorado 62.22% Colorado 34 - 7 ❌
Middle Tennessee Kennesaw State 62.8% Middle Tennessee 14 - 5 ✅
California NC State 63.17% NC State 24 - 23 ❌
BYU Oklahoma State 63.21% BYU 38 - 35 ✅
Oklahoma South Carolina 63.73% South Carolina 35 - 9 ❌
West Virginia Kansas State 64.93% Kansas State 45 - 18 ✅
Maryland USC 65.02% Maryland 29 - 28 ❌
Utah TCU 65.08% TCU 13 - 7 ❌
Missouri Auburn 65.13% Missouri 21 - 17 ✅
Virginia Tech Boston College 65.17% Virginia Tech 42 - 21 ✅
South Alabama Troy 65.39% South Alabama 25 - 9 ✅
San José State Wyoming 65.96% San José State 24 - 14 ✅
South Florida UAB 68.33% South Florida 35 - 25 ✅
Navy Charlotte 72.2% Navy 51 - 17 ✅
Mississippi State Texas A&M 72.86% Texas A&M 34 - 24 ✅
Northwestern* Wisconsin 73.19% Wisconsin 23 - 3 ✅
Georgia Southern James Madison 75.06% Georgia Southern 28 - 14 ❌
Memphis North Texas 76.55% Memphis 52 - 44 ✅
Army East Carolina 77.55% Army 45 - 28 ✅
Iowa State UCF 77.6% Iowa State 38 - 35 ✅
Illinois Michigan 78.68% Illinois 21 - 7 ❌
Clemson Virginia 79.86% Clemson 48 - 31 ✅
Bowling Green Kent State 81.15% Bowling Green 27 - 6 ✅
Stanford SMU 81.76% SMU 40 - 10 ✅
Georgia Tech* Notre Dame 82.72% Notre Dame 31 - 13 ✅
Vanderbilt Ball State 83.17% Vanderbilt 24 - 14 ✅
Michigan State Iowa 83.98% Michigan State 32 - 20 ❌
Washington State Hawai'i 86.35% Washington State 42 - 10 ✅
Tulane Rice 87.43% Tulane 24 - 10 ✅
Purdue Oregon 93.95% Oregon 35 - 0 ✅
33 ✅ : 22 ❌ (60.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 7 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Iowa Washington 50.31% Iowa 40 - 16 ❌
Wyoming San Diego State 50.79% San Diego State 27 - 24 ❌
NC State Syracuse 50.96% Syracuse 24 - 17 ✅
Texas State Arkansas State 51.37% Texas State 41 - 9 ✅
Pittsburgh California 51.68% Pittsburgh 17 - 15 ❌
Florida Atlantic North Texas 53.12% North Texas 41 - 37 ✅
New Mexico Air Force 53.94% New Mexico 52 - 37 ❌
Rutgers Wisconsin 57.59% Wisconsin 42 - 7 ✅
West Virginia Iowa State 57.97% Iowa State 28 - 16 ✅
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee 57.99% Louisiana Tech 48 - 21 ✅
North Carolina Georgia Tech 58.35% Georgia Tech 41 - 34 ✅
Georgia State Old Dominion 58.48% Old Dominion 21 - 14 ✅
Georgia Southern Marshall 58.52% Georgia Southern 24 - 23 ✅
UCF Cincinnati 60.24% Cincinnati 19 - 13 ❌
Jacksonville State New Mexico State 61.4% Jacksonville State 54 - 13 ✅
Eastern Michigan Miami (OH) 61.66% Miami (OH) 38 - 14 ✅
James Madison Coastal Carolina 62.36% James Madison 39 - 7 ✅
Kent State Ball State 62.39% Ball State 37 - 35 ✅
UCLA Minnesota 62.49% Minnesota 21 - 17 ✅
LSU Ole Miss 62.64% LSU 29 - 26 ❌
Bowling Green Northern Illinois 63.57% Northern Illinois 17 - 7 ✅
Arizona State Utah 64.05% Arizona State 27 - 19 ❌
BYU Arizona 65.5% BYU 41 - 19 ✅
Fresno State Washington State 66.15% Washington State 25 - 17 ✅
South Florida Memphis 66.65% Memphis 21 - 3 ✅
Buffalo Toledo 67.62% Buffalo 30 - 15 ❌
Colorado Kansas State 67.68% Kansas State 31 - 28 ✅
Oklahoma* Texas 67.86% Texas 34 - 3 ✅
Illinois Purdue 67.95% Illinois 50 - 49 ✅
Virginia Louisville 68.22% Louisville 24 - 20 ✅
Oregon Ohio State 68.76% Oregon 32 - 31 ❌
Kentucky Vanderbilt 69.33% Vanderbilt 20 - 13 ❌
Western Kentucky UTEP 69.42% Western Kentucky 44 - 17 ✅
Maryland Northwestern 69.9% Northwestern 37 - 10 ❌
USC Penn State 70.14% Penn State 33 - 30 ✅
Central Michigan Ohio 71.08% Ohio 27 - 25 ✅
Colorado State San José State 71.61% Colorado State 31 - 24 ❌
Liberty Florida International 72.34% Liberty 32 - 24 ✅
Tennessee Florida 75.08% Tennessee 23 - 17 ✅
Western Michigan Akron 76.79% Western Michigan 34 - 24 ✅
Utah State UNLV 77.6% UNLV 50 - 34 ✅
Alabama South Carolina 78.8% Alabama 27 - 25 ✅
Army UAB 78.91% Army 44 - 10 ✅
Nevada Oregon State 79.8% Nevada 42 - 37 ❌
Wake Forest Clemson 83.85% Clemson 49 - 14 ✅
Hawai'i Boise State 87.44% Boise State 28 - 7 ✅
Notre Dame Stanford 89.46% Notre Dame 49 - 7 ✅
Georgia Mississippi State 92.38% Georgia 41 - 31 ✅
35 ✅ : 13 ❌ (72.92%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 6 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Texas A&M Missouri 50.09% Texas A&M 41 - 10 ❌
Virginia Boston College 50.64% Virginia 24 - 14 ✅
Coastal Carolina Old Dominion 50.94% Coastal Carolina 45 - 37 ✅
Florida UCF 51.25% Florida 24 - 13 ✅
North Carolina Pittsburgh 52.62% Pittsburgh 34 - 24 ✅
Air Force Navy 52.73% Navy 34 - 7 ✅
Arizona State Kansas 54.18% Arizona State 35 - 31 ❌
Wisconsin Purdue 55.7% Wisconsin 52 - 6 ✅
Georgia Tech Duke 55.9% Georgia Tech 24 - 14 ❌
Toledo Miami (OH) 57.97% Toledo 30 - 20 ✅
Stanford Virginia Tech 59.59% Virginia Tech 31 - 7 ✅
Florida State Clemson 59.79% Clemson 29 - 13 ✅
UNLV Syracuse 59.99% Syracuse 44 - 41 ❌
Minnesota USC 61.25% Minnesota 24 - 17 ❌
South Carolina Ole Miss 62.05% Ole Miss 27 - 3 ✅
NC State Wake Forest 64.12% Wake Forest 34 - 30 ❌
San Diego State Hawai'i 64.7% San Diego State 27 - 24 ✅
Ball State Western Michigan 65.49% Western Michigan 45 - 42 ✅
Washington Michigan 65.57% Washington 27 - 17 ❌
California Miami 67.31% Miami 39 - 38 ✅
Oklahoma State West Virginia 67.32% West Virginia 38 - 14 ❌
Arizona Texas Tech 67.78% Texas Tech 28 - 22 ❌
Louisville SMU 68.21% SMU 34 - 27 ❌
Northwestern* Indiana 68.75% Indiana 41 - 24 ✅
San José State Nevada 68.89% San José State 35 - 31 ✅
TCU Houston 69.64% Houston 30 - 19 ❌
Charlotte East Carolina 70.13% Charlotte 55 - 24 ❌
Arkansas State South Alabama 73.72% Arkansas State 18 - 16 ❌
UAB Tulane 74.0% Tulane 71 - 20 ✅
Troy Texas State 76.57% Texas State 38 - 17 ❌
Iowa State Baylor 76.75% Iowa State 43 - 21 ✅
Arkansas Tennessee 77.23% Arkansas 19 - 14 ❌
Tulsa Army 78.09% Army 49 - 7 ✅
Penn State UCLA 84.24% Penn State 27 - 11 ✅
Oregon Michigan State 84.76% Oregon 31 - 10 ✅
Oregon State Colorado State 85.54% Oregon State 39 - 31 ✅
Georgia Auburn 85.96% Georgia 31 - 13 ✅
Kennesaw State Jacksonville State 88.12% Jacksonville State 63 - 24 ✅
Boise State Utah State 88.6% Boise State 62 - 30 ✅
Akron Bowling Green 89.12% Bowling Green 27 - 20 ✅
Vanderbilt Alabama 95.82% Vanderbilt 40 - 35 ❌
25 ✅ : 16 ❌ (60.98%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 5 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Wake Forest Louisiana 50.34% Louisiana 41 - 38 ✅
UNLV Fresno State 50.41% UNLV 59 - 14 ✅
Kansas* TCU 50.42% TCU 38 - 27 ❌
Georgia State Georgia Southern 50.48% Georgia Southern 38 - 21 ❌
Indiana Maryland 52.18% Indiana 42 - 28 ❌
SMU Florida State 52.41% SMU 42 - 16 ❌
Bowling Green Old Dominion 52.7% Old Dominion 30 - 27 ❌
Texas Tech Cincinnati 53.88% Texas Tech 44 - 41 ✅
Boise State Washington State 55.16% Boise State 45 - 24 ❌
UAB Navy 55.98% Navy 41 - 18 ✅
New Mexico State New Mexico 56.32% New Mexico 50 - 40 ❌
Florida International* Louisiana Tech 57.25% Florida International 17 - 10 ❌
NC State Northern Illinois 57.31% NC State 24 - 17 ✅
USC Wisconsin 58.34% USC 38 - 21 ✅
Alabama Georgia 59.84% Alabama 41 - 34 ❌
Boston College Western Kentucky 60.03% Boston College 21 - 20 ✅
Baylor BYU 61.02% BYU 34 - 28 ✅
Marshall Western Michigan 63.07% Marshall 27 - 20 ✅
Purdue Nebraska 63.2% Nebraska 28 - 10 ✅
Kansas State Oklahoma State 63.52% Kansas State 42 - 20 ✅
Duke North Carolina 63.64% Duke 21 - 20 ✅
North Texas Tulsa 64.19% North Texas 52 - 20 ✅
Wyoming Air Force 65.7% Wyoming 31 - 19 ❌
Texas A&M* Arkansas 65.94% Texas A&M 21 - 17 ✅
Central Michigan San Diego State 66.66% Central Michigan 22 - 21 ❌
Rice Charlotte 68.85% Charlotte 21 - 20 ❌
Notre Dame Louisville 70.05% Notre Dame 31 - 24 ✅
Rutgers Washington 70.66% Rutgers 21 - 18 ❌
Ole Miss Kentucky 71.76% Kentucky 20 - 17 ❌
Auburn Oklahoma 72.09% Oklahoma 27 - 21 ✅
Miami Virginia Tech 73.19% Miami 38 - 34 ✅
Utah Arizona 73.2% Arizona 23 - 10 ❌
LSU South Alabama 74.11% LSU 42 - 10 ✅
Temple Army 75.52% Army 42 - 14 ✅
Tulane South Florida 75.74% Tulane 45 - 10 ✅
Houston Iowa State 76.11% Iowa State 20 - 0 ✅
Kent State Eastern Michigan 77.34% Eastern Michigan 52 - 33 ✅
Clemson Stanford 78.67% Clemson 40 - 14 ✅
UCF Colorado 79.82% Colorado 48 - 21 ❌
Penn State Illinois 80.21% Penn State 21 - 7 ✅
Michigan Minnesota 80.86% Michigan 27 - 24 ✅
UCLA Oregon 81.48% Oregon 34 - 13 ✅
Syracuse Holy Cross 82.19% Syracuse 42 - 14 ✅
James Madison Ball State 83.02% James Madison 63 - 7 ✅
Ohio Akron 83.07% Ohio 30 - 10 ✅
Memphis Middle Tennessee 88.67% Memphis 24 - 7 ✅
Michigan State Ohio State 91.99% Ohio State 38 - 7 ✅
Texas Mississippi State 93.67% Texas 35 - 13 ✅
32 ✅ : 16 ❌ (66.67%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 4 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
SMU TCU 50.92% SMU 66 - 42 ❌
Central Michigan Ball State 51.1% Central Michigan 37 - 34 ❌
West Virginia Kansas 51.24% West Virginia 32 - 28 ✅
North Texas Wyoming 51.84% North Texas 44 - 17 ✅
Louisiana Tech Tulsa 51.95% Tulsa 23 - 20 ✅
Colorado Baylor 52.19% Colorado 38 - 31 ❌
Cincinnati Houston 53.15% Cincinnati 34 - 0 ❌
Nebraska Illinois 53.17% Illinois 31 - 24 ❌
Coastal Carolina Virginia 53.41% Virginia 43 - 24 ✅
Oklahoma Tennessee 53.46% Tennessee 25 - 15 ✅
Texas Tech Arizona State 54.07% Texas Tech 30 - 22 ✅
Boston College Michigan State 54.47% Boston College 23 - 19 ❌
Virginia Tech Rutgers 54.61% Rutgers 26 - 23 ❌
North Carolina James Madison 55.13% James Madison 70 - 50 ✅
Oklahoma State Utah 56.56% Utah 22 - 19 ✅
Colorado State UTEP 56.57% Colorado State 27 - 17 ✅
Oregon State Purdue 57.49% Oregon State 38 - 21 ✅
Mississippi State Florida 57.66% Florida 45 - 28 ✅
Army Rice 58.09% Army 37 - 14 ✅
Minnesota Iowa 59.7% Iowa 31 - 14 ✅
Florida International* Monmouth 61.08% Monmouth 45 - 42 ❌
Syracuse Stanford 61.9% Stanford 26 - 24 ❌
Auburn Arkansas 63.09% Arkansas 24 - 14 ❌
Western Kentucky Toledo 63.29% Western Kentucky 26 - 21 ❌
Liberty East Carolina 63.52% Liberty 35 - 24 ✅
Nevada Eastern Washington 63.91% Nevada 49 - 16 ✅
Washington State San José State 66.1% Washington State 54 - 52 ✅
BYU Kansas State 69.27% BYU 38 - 9 ❌
Florida State California 69.42% Florida State 14 - 9 ✅
Northern Illinois Buffalo 69.7% Buffalo 23 - 20 ❌
Navy Memphis 70.41% Navy 56 - 44 ❌
Louisiana Tulane 71.26% Tulane 41 - 33 ✅
Kentucky Ohio 72.54% Kentucky 41 - 6 ✅
Clemson NC State 72.71% Clemson 59 - 35 ✅
New Mexico Fresno State 73.9% Fresno State 38 - 21 ✅
Louisville Georgia Tech 74.0% Louisville 45 - 19 ✅
Temple Utah State 74.18% Temple 45 - 29 ❌
Pittsburgh Youngstown State 74.37% Pittsburgh 73 - 17 ✅
Middle Tennessee Duke 74.43% Duke 45 - 17 ✅
LSU UCLA 74.99% LSU 34 - 17 ✅
Washington Northwestern 77.11% Washington 24 - 5 ✅
Michigan USC 78.61% Michigan 27 - 24 ✅
Texas A&M Bowling Green 79.44% Texas A&M 26 - 20 ✅
South Florida Miami 80.98% Miami 50 - 15 ✅
Missouri Vanderbilt 82.82% Missouri 30 - 27 ✅
Iowa State Arkansas State 83.14% Iowa State 52 - 7 ✅
Notre Dame Miami (OH) 85.81% Notre Dame 28 - 3 ✅
Indiana Charlotte 87.12% Indiana 52 - 14 ✅
Maryland Villanova 88.08% Maryland 38 - 20 ✅
Troy Florida A&M 91.15% Troy 34 - 12 ✅
Boise State Portland State 92.46% Boise State 56 - 14 ✅
South Carolina Akron 95.18% South Carolina 50 - 7 ✅
Ole Miss Georgia Southern 96.43% Ole Miss 52 - 13 ✅
Penn State Kent State 99.24% Penn State 56 - 0 ✅
39 ✅ : 15 ❌ (72.22%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 3 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Charlotte Gardner-Webb 50.12% Charlotte 27 - 26 ✅
Miami (OH) Cincinnati 51.74% Cincinnati 27 - 16 ✅
South Carolina LSU 52.86% LSU 36 - 33 ❌
Middle Tennessee Western Kentucky 53.62% Western Kentucky 49 - 21 ✅
TCU UCF 53.73% UCF 35 - 34 ✅
Pittsburgh West Virginia 54.59% Pittsburgh 38 - 34 ❌
Baylor Air Force 55.94% Baylor 31 - 3 ✅
Houston Rice 56.02% Houston 33 - 7 ✅
Oregon State Oregon 58.53% Oregon 49 - 14 ✅
UCLA Indiana 59.44% Indiana 42 - 13 ❌
Kansas* UNLV 60.16% UNLV 23 - 20 ❌
Florida Atlantic Florida International 60.37% Florida Atlantic 38 - 20 ✅
Eastern Michigan Jacksonville State 61.54% Eastern Michigan 37 - 34 ❌
Colorado State Colorado 62.69% Colorado 28 - 9 ✅
Florida Texas A&M 64.24% Texas A&M 33 - 20 ✅
Akron Colgate 64.64% Akron 31 - 20 ✅
Old Dominion Virginia Tech 66.3% Virginia Tech 37 - 17 ✅
Mississippi State Toledo 66.59% Toledo 41 - 17 ❌
Fresno State New Mexico State 67.67% Fresno State 48 - 0 ✅
Virginia Maryland 67.94% Maryland 27 - 13 ✅
Iowa Troy 69.45% Iowa 38 - 21 ✅
Washington* Washington State 71.17% Washington State 24 - 19 ❌
Liberty UTEP 71.52% Liberty 28 - 10 ✅
Georgia State Vanderbilt 72.61% Georgia State 36 - 32 ❌
Texas Tech North Texas 72.62% Texas Tech 63 - 21 ✅
Oklahoma Tulane 72.7% Oklahoma 34 - 19 ✅
Purdue Notre Dame 73.52% Notre Dame 66 - 7 ✅
Florida State Memphis 73.9% Memphis 20 - 12 ❌
Wisconsin Alabama 75.3% Alabama 42 - 10 ✅
Minnesota Nevada 77.78% Minnesota 27 - 0 ✅
NC State Louisiana Tech 78.14% NC State 30 - 20 ✅
Wyoming BYU 78.26% BYU 34 - 14 ✅
Arkansas UAB 80.12% Arkansas 37 - 27 ✅
Kansas State Arizona 80.5% Kansas State 31 - 7 ✅
Nebraska Northern Iowa 81.2% Nebraska 34 - 3 ✅
Missouri Boston College 82.43% Missouri 27 - 21 ✅
Western Michigan Bethune-Cookman 82.63% Western Michigan 59 - 31 ✅
Wake Forest Ole Miss 83.2% Ole Miss 40 - 6 ✅
Utah State Utah 83.51% Utah 38 - 21 ✅
San José State Kennesaw State 83.67% San José State 31 - 10 ✅
Tulsa Oklahoma State 85.92% Oklahoma State 45 - 10 ✅
Miami Ball State 87.11% Miami 62 - 0 ✅
Kentucky Georgia 87.74% Georgia 13 - 12 ✅
Temple Coastal Carolina 88.17% Coastal Carolina 28 - 20 ✅
Illinois Central Michigan 88.86% Illinois 30 - 9 ✅
Auburn New Mexico 89.45% Auburn 45 - 19 ✅
Northwestern* Eastern Illinois 90.1% Northwestern 31 - 7 ✅
Ohio Morgan State 93.35% Ohio 21 - 6 ✅
South Alabama Northwestern State 93.89% South Alabama 87 - 10 ✅
Michigan Arkansas State 97.32% Michigan 28 - 18 ✅
Georgia Tech VMI 97.81% Georgia Tech 59 - 7 ✅
North Carolina North Carolina Central 98.18% North Carolina 45 - 10 ✅
Tennessee Kent State 99.35% Tennessee 71 - 0 ✅
Georgia Southern South Carolina State 99.89% Georgia Southern 42 - 14 ✅
45 ✅ : 9 ❌ (83.33%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 2 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Air Force San José State 50.15% San José State 17 - 7 ✅
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 50.48% Pittsburgh 28 - 27 ❌
Old Dominion East Carolina 50.56% East Carolina 20 - 14 ✅
Memphis Troy 50.89% Memphis 38 - 17 ✅
Ohio South Alabama 51.33% Ohio 27 - 20 ❌
Florida Atlantic Army 51.63% Army 24 - 7 ✅
Nevada Georgia Southern 52.23% Georgia Southern 20 - 17 ❌
Arkansas State Tulsa 52.44% Arkansas State 28 - 24 ❌
Wake Forest Virginia 53.22% Virginia 31 - 30 ❌
Illinois Kansas 53.68% Illinois 23 - 17 ✅
Syracuse Georgia Tech 53.87% Syracuse 31 - 28 ❌
SMU BYU 54.21% BYU 18 - 15 ❌
Arizona State Mississippi State 54.68% Arizona State 30 - 23 ❌
Wyoming Idaho 55.31% Idaho 17 - 13 ✅
Ball State Missouri State 55.81% Ball State 36 - 28 ❌
Iowa Iowa State 55.82% Iowa State 20 - 19 ❌
Washington State Texas Tech 56.73% Washington State 37 - 16 ✅
UTEP Southern Utah 56.85% Southern Utah 27 - 24 ❌
Oklahoma State Arkansas 57.08% Oklahoma State 39 - 31 ✅
Kentucky South Carolina 60.77% South Carolina 31 - 6 ❌
Tulane Kansas State 61.06% Kansas State 34 - 27 ✅
Northwestern* Duke 63.56% Duke 26 - 20 ✅
New Mexico State Liberty 63.56% Liberty 30 - 24 ✅
NC State* Tennessee 64.98% Tennessee 51 - 10 ✅
Virginia Tech Marshall 65.45% Virginia Tech 31 - 14 ✅
Kent State St Francis (PA) 65.96% St Francis (PA) 23 - 17 ❌
Maryland Michigan State 68.07% Michigan State 27 - 24 ❌
Michigan Texas 68.43% Texas 31 - 12 ❌
Auburn California 68.66% California 21 - 14 ❌
Navy Temple 69.03% Navy 38 - 11 ✅
Clemson Appalachian State 69.55% Clemson 66 - 20 ✅
Nebraska Colorado 69.67% Nebraska 28 - 10 ✅
Georgia State Chattanooga 69.8% Georgia State 24 - 21 ✅
Fresno State Sacramento State 71.33% Fresno State 46 - 30 ✅
UCF Sam Houston State 71.53% UCF 45 - 14 ✅
Louisiana Monroe UAB 71.95% Louisiana Monroe 32 - 6 ❌
Florida International* Central Michigan 72.5% Florida International 52 - 16 ❌
Wisconsin South Dakota 74.29% Wisconsin 27 - 13 ✅
Coastal Carolina William & Mary 74.59% Coastal Carolina 40 - 21 ✅
Western Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 76.11% Western Kentucky 31 - 0 ✅
Utah Baylor 79.08% Utah 23 - 12 ✅
San Diego State Oregon State 79.54% Oregon State 21 - 0 ✅
Oregon Boise State 79.97% Oregon 37 - 34 ✅
Florida Samford 80.12% Florida 45 - 7 ✅
UNLV Utah Tech 82.4% UNLV 72 - 14 ✅
Colorado State Northern Colorado 84.09% Colorado State 38 - 17 ✅
Vanderbilt Alcorn State 84.8% Vanderbilt 55 - 0 ✅
Boston College Duquesne 85.58% Boston College 56 - 0 ✅
USC Utah State 86.2% USC 48 - 0 ✅
Rutgers Akron 86.37% Rutgers 49 - 17 ✅
Toledo UMass 87.11% Toledo 38 - 23 ✅
Arizona Northern Arizona 87.29% Arizona 22 - 10 ✅
Louisville Jacksonville State 87.62% Louisville 49 - 14 ✅
Stanford Cal Poly 88.42% Stanford 41 - 7 ✅
Oklahoma Houston 88.63% Oklahoma 16 - 12 ✅
Minnesota Rhode Island 88.95% Minnesota 48 - 0 ✅
Kennesaw State Louisiana 89.32% Louisiana 34 - 10 ✅
West Virginia Albany 89.4% West Virginia 49 - 14 ✅
Notre Dame Northern Illinois 89.5% Northern Illinois 16 - 14 ❌
James Madison Gardner-Webb 89.66% James Madison 13 - 6 ✅
Missouri Buffalo 90.75% Missouri 38 - 0 ✅
Washington Eastern Michigan 90.87% Washington 30 - 9 ✅
Rice Texas Southern 92.6% Rice 69 - 7 ✅
Penn State Bowling Green 94.55% Penn State 34 - 27 ✅
Alabama South Florida 94.68% Alabama 42 - 16 ✅
LSU Nicholls 94.84% LSU 44 - 21 ✅
Ole Miss Middle Tennessee 94.86% Ole Miss 52 - 3 ✅
North Texas Stephen F. Austin 94.99% North Texas 35 - 20 ✅
TCU Long Island University 95.7% TCU 45 - 0 ✅
Indiana Western Illinois 96.16% Indiana 77 - 3 ✅
Miami Florida A&M 97.49% Miami 56 - 9 ✅
Texas A&M McNeese 97.7% Texas A&M 52 - 7 ✅
Ohio State Western Michigan 97.79% Ohio State 57 - 0 ✅
Georgia Tennessee Tech 99.3% Georgia 48 - 0 ✅
55 ✅ : 19 ❌ (74.32%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 1 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Florida Miami 51.07% Miami 41 - 17 ❌
Minnesota North Carolina 51.63% North Carolina 19 - 17 ❌
Arizona State Wyoming 52.52% Arizona State 48 - 7 ✅
Houston UNLV 53.2% UNLV 27 - 7 ✅
Arkansas State Central Arkansas 54.38% Arkansas State 34 - 31 ✅
Northwestern* Miami (OH) 55.1% Northwestern 13 - 6 ✅
Georgia Tech Georgia State 55.33% Georgia Tech 35 - 12 ✅
Oklahoma State South Dakota State 56.4% Oklahoma State 44 - 20 ❌
Rice Sam Houston State 57.13% Sam Houston State 34 - 14 ✅
Louisiana Tech Nicholls 57.81% Louisiana Tech 25 - 17 ✅
Michigan State Florida Atlantic 57.84% Michigan State 16 - 10 ✅
Syracuse Ohio 61.63% Syracuse 38 - 22 ✅
Texas A&M Notre Dame 62.59% Notre Dame 23 - 13 ✅
New Mexico Montana State 62.73% Montana State 35 - 31 ✅
Colorado North Dakota State 63.47% Colorado 31 - 26 ✅
New Mexico State Southeast Missouri State 68.2% New Mexico State 23 - 16 ✅
LSU* USC 68.24% USC 27 - 20 ❌
Georgia Southern Boise State 69.08% Boise State 56 - 45 ✅
Vanderbilt Virginia Tech 70.68% Vanderbilt 34 - 27 ❌
Jacksonville State Coastal Carolina 72.12% Coastal Carolina 55 - 27 ✅
UMass Eastern Michigan 72.27% Eastern Michigan 28 - 14 ✅
Buffalo Lafayette 75.86% Buffalo 30 - 13 ✅
Stanford TCU 76.15% TCU 34 - 27 ✅
San José State Sacramento State 76.53% San José State 42 - 24 ✅
Georgia* Clemson 77.35% Georgia 34 - 3 ✅
Troy Nevada 77.64% Nevada 28 - 26 ❌
Virginia Richmond 78.44% Virginia 34 - 13 ✅
South Alabama North Texas 79.19% North Texas 52 - 38 ❌
BYU Southern Illinois 81.01% BYU 41 - 13 ✅
Bowling Green Fordham 81.68% Bowling Green 41 - 17 ✅
Nebraska UTEP 82.06% Nebraska 40 - 7 ✅
Georgia Tech* Florida State 82.09% Georgia Tech 24 - 21 ❌
Texas Tech Abilene Christian 82.13% Texas Tech 52 - 51 ✅
West Virginia Penn State 83.18% Penn State 34 - 12 ✅
South Carolina Old Dominion 83.21% South Carolina 23 - 19 ✅
Tulsa Northwestern State 84.48% Tulsa 62 - 28 ✅
Iowa Illinois State 84.51% Iowa 40 - 0 ✅
Middle Tennessee Tennessee Tech 84.59% Middle Tennessee 32 - 25 ✅
Baylor Tarleton State 84.75% Baylor 45 - 3 ✅
Navy Bucknell 84.94% Navy 49 - 21 ✅
Liberty Campbell 85.42% Liberty 41 - 24 ✅
San Diego State Texas A&M-Commerce 86.09% San Diego State 45 - 14 ✅
Nevada SMU 86.45% SMU 29 - 24 ✅
Wisconsin Western Michigan 87.21% Wisconsin 28 - 14 ✅
California UC Davis 87.27% California 14 - 13 ✅
Hawai'i UCLA 87.45% UCLA 16 - 13 ✅
Indiana Florida International 87.94% Indiana 31 - 7 ✅
Pittsburgh Kent State 88.14% Pittsburgh 55 - 24 ✅
Washington State Portland State 88.39% Washington State 70 - 30 ✅
South Florida Bethune-Cookman 88.48% South Florida 48 - 3 ✅
Utah State Robert Morris 88.93% Utah State 36 - 14 ✅
Texas State Lamar 89.11% Texas State 34 - 27 ✅
Army Lehigh 89.37% Army 42 - 7 ✅
Tulane Southeastern Louisiana 89.58% Tulane 52 - 0 ✅
Kentucky Southern Mississippi 89.73% Kentucky 31 - 0 ✅
UCF New Hampshire 89.84% UCF 57 - 3 ✅
Mississippi State Eastern Kentucky 90.05% Mississippi State 56 - 7 ✅
Duke Elon 90.14% Duke 26 - 3 ✅
Charlotte James Madison 90.98% James Madison 30 - 7 ✅
NC State Western Carolina 91.61% NC State 38 - 21 ✅
Air Force Merrimack 91.69% Air Force 21 - 6 ✅
Cincinnati Towson 92.18% Cincinnati 38 - 20 ✅
UAB Alcorn State 92.33% UAB 41 - 3 ✅
Northern Illinois Western Illinois 92.39% Northern Illinois 54 - 15 ✅
Maryland Connecticut 92.53% Maryland 50 - 7 ✅
Iowa State North Dakota 93.25% Iowa State 21 - 3 ✅
Louisville Austin Peay 93.57% Louisville 62 - 0 ✅
Texas Colorado State 93.74% Texas 52 - 0 ✅
Rutgers Howard 93.87% Rutgers 38 - 7 ✅
Arizona New Mexico 93.94% Arizona 61 - 39 ✅
Memphis North Alabama 94.32% Memphis 40 - 0 ✅
Utah Southern Utah 94.38% Utah 49 - 0 ✅
Alabama Western Kentucky 95.07% Alabama 63 - 0 ✅
Kansas State UT Martin 95.43% Kansas State 41 - 6 ✅
East Carolina Norfolk State 95.6% East Carolina 42 - 3 ✅
Washington Weber State 95.64% Washington 35 - 3 ✅
Purdue Indiana State 95.65% Purdue 49 - 0 ✅
Ole Miss Furman 95.74% Ole Miss 76 - 0 ✅
Oregon Idaho 95.8% Oregon 24 - 14 ✅
Illinois Eastern Illinois 96.04% Illinois 45 - 0 ✅
Wake Forest North Carolina A&T 96.08% Wake Forest 45 - 13 ✅
Michigan Fresno State 96.11% Michigan 30 - 10 ✅
Marshall Stony Brook 96.18% Marshall 45 - 3 ✅
Toledo Duquesne 96.4% Toledo 49 - 10 ✅
Louisiana Grambling 96.78% Louisiana 40 - 10 ✅
Tennessee Chattanooga 97.93% Tennessee 69 - 3 ✅
Oregon State Idaho State 98.57% Oregon State 38 - 15 ✅
Oklahoma Temple 98.62% Oklahoma 51 - 3 ✅
Missouri Murray State 98.96% Missouri 51 - 0 ✅
Auburn Alabama A&M 99.2% Auburn 73 - 3 ✅
SMU Houston Christian 99.38% SMU 59 - 7 ✅
Ohio State Akron 99.43% Ohio State 52 - 6 ✅
Arkansas* Arkansas-Pine Bluff 99.57% Arkansas 70 - 0 ✅
Kansas* Lindenwood 100.0% Kansas 48 - 3 ✅
86 ✅ : 8 ❌ (91.49%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.