Matt Callicott

Week 13 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability
Arkansas State Louisiana Monroe 50.33%
Florida Atlantic Charlotte 50.36%
Oklahoma State Texas Tech 50.53%
Michigan State Purdue 50.74%
Duke Virginia Tech 51.02%
Kansas* Colorado 51.06%
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 51.23%
Old Dominion Marshall 51.46%
UAB Rice 51.82%
Louisiana Troy 52.62%
Toledo Ohio 52.88%
Nevada Air Force 54.17%
Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern 54.27%
Rutgers Illinois 54.56%
Utah Iowa State 54.62%
Miami (OH) Northern Illinois 55.11%
West Virginia UCF 55.66%
Auburn Texas A&M 58.18%
Utah State San Diego State 59.03%
Arizona State BYU 59.54%
Texas State Georgia State 60.04%
Oregon State Washington State 60.6%
Boston College North Carolina 61.39%
Fresno State Colorado State 62.51%
Liberty Western Kentucky 63.49%
Central Michigan Western Michigan 64.15%
Kent State Akron 64.52%
Middle Tennessee New Mexico State 65.51%
Georgia Tech NC State 65.85%
Nebraska Wisconsin 66.92%
San José State UNLV 67.45%
TCU Arizona 68.05%
UCLA USC 68.19%
Louisville Pittsburgh 68.68%
California Stanford 68.92%
Mississippi State Missouri 69.59%
Ball State Bowling Green 69.88%
North Texas East Carolina 70.19%
Syracuse Connecticut 70.8%
Virginia SMU 70.93%
South Florida Tulsa 71.41%
Kennesaw State Florida International 72.77%
Houston Baylor 72.86%
Maryland Iowa 73.04%
LSU Vanderbilt 73.39%
UT San Antonio Temple 74.41%
Kansas State Cincinnati 75.25%
Oklahoma Alabama 75.32%
Minnesota Penn State 75.94%
Ohio State Indiana 77.22%
Florida Ole Miss 77.87%
Michigan Northwestern 79.0%
Texas Kentucky 79.92%
Appalachian State James Madison 81.31%
Miami Wake Forest 83.59%
Notre Dame* Army 83.7%
Arkansas Louisiana Tech 83.73%
Wyoming Boise State 85.38%
Southern Mississippi South Alabama 90.55%
Florida State Charleston Southern 94.83%
Clemson The Citadel 97.14%
South Carolina Wofford 97.74%
Jacksonville State Sam Houston State 98.51%
Tennessee UTEP 98.68%
Georgia UMass 99.24%

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 12 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Georgia State Arkansas State 52.39% Arkansas State 27 - 20
Marshall Coastal Carolina 52.68% Marshall 31 - 19
West Virginia Baylor 52.69% Baylor 49 - 35
Colorado State Wyoming 52.91% Colorado State 24 - 10
Georgia Southern Troy 55.15% Troy 28 - 20
Florida LSU 55.5% Florida 27 - 16
Illinois Michigan State 56.14% Illinois 38 - 16
Arizona Houston 56.74% Arizona 27 - 3
Colorado Utah 57.01% Colorado 49 - 24
Utah State Hawai'i 57.71% Utah State 58 - 10
Temple Florida Atlantic 57.82% Temple 18 - 15
Maryland Rutgers 58.12% Rutgers 31 - 17
Bowling Green Western Michigan 58.93% Bowling Green 31 - 13
California Syracuse 59.9% Syracuse 33 - 25
Buffalo Ball State 61.5% Tie 45 - 45
BYU Kansas 62.73% Kansas 17 - 13
Louisiana South Alabama 62.93% South Alabama 24 - 22
South Carolina Missouri 63.42% South Carolina 34 - 30
Ohio Eastern Michigan 63.44% Ohio 35 - 10
Washington UCLA 63.63% Washington 31 - 19
Charlotte South Florida 65.24% South Florida 59 - 24
Tulsa East Carolina 65.45% East Carolina 38 - 31
Georgia Tennessee 65.7% Georgia 31 - 17
Navy Tulane 66.36% Tulane 35 - 0
Air Force Oregon State 67.15% Air Force 28 - 0
USC Nebraska 70.85% USC 28 - 20
Western Kentucky Louisiana Tech 72.08% Louisiana Tech 12 - 7
Jacksonville State Florida International 72.78% Jacksonville State 34 - 31
San José State Boise State 73.32% Boise State 42 - 21
Wisconsin Oregon 74.48% Oregon 16 - 13
Northern Illinois Akron 74.71% Northern Illinois 29 - 16
Iowa State Cincinnati 74.72% Iowa State 34 - 17
Kansas State Arizona State 75.24% Arizona State 24 - 14
Pittsburgh Clemson 75.46% Clemson 24 - 20
UNLV San Diego State 75.51% UNLV 41 - 20
SMU Boston College 75.98% SMU 38 - 28
Old Dominion James Madison 76.56% James Madison 35 - 32
North Carolina Wake Forest 76.75% North Carolina 31 - 24
Toledo Central Michigan 77.47% Toledo 37 - 10
Memphis UAB 77.95% Memphis 53 - 18
Stanford Louisville 82.13% Stanford 38 - 35
New Mexico Washington State 86.27% New Mexico 38 - 35
Arkansas Texas 88.21% Texas 20 - 10
Miami (OH) Kent State 89.47% Miami (OH) 34 - 7
Northwestern* Ohio State 91.5% Ohio State 31 - 7
Notre Dame Virginia 92.94% Notre Dame 35 - 14
Purdue Penn State 94.62% Penn State 49 - 10
Texas A&M New Mexico State 97.24% Texas A&M 38 - 3
Kentucky Murray State 97.25% Kentucky 48 - 6
Alabama Mercer 98.67% Alabama 52 - 7
35 ✅ : 15 ❌ (70.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 11 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Utah BYU 51.59% BYU 22 - 21
Boston College Syracuse 52.04% Boston College 37 - 31
UTEP Kennesaw State 52.7% UTEP 43 - 35
Texas Tech Colorado 54.64% Colorado 41 - 27
Arizona State UCF 54.78% Arizona State 35 - 31
TCU Oklahoma State 55.34% TCU 38 - 13
Ole Miss Georgia 55.84% Ole Miss 28 - 10
Missouri Oklahoma 57.37% Missouri 30 - 23
Indiana Michigan 58.04% Indiana 20 - 15
Air Force Fresno State 58.82% Air Force 36 - 28
East Carolina Florida Atlantic 58.88% East Carolina 49 - 14
San Diego State New Mexico 58.95% New Mexico 21 - 16
NC State Duke 58.99% Duke 29 - 19
Kansas* Iowa State 59.59% Kansas 45 - 36
Pittsburgh Virginia 60.82% Virginia 24 - 19
Cincinnati West Virginia 61.39% West Virginia 31 - 24
Virginia Tech Clemson 61.48% Clemson 24 - 14
Louisiana Arkansas State 63.17% Louisiana 55 - 19
Rutgers Minnesota 63.25% Rutgers 26 - 19
Georgia Tech Miami 63.69% Georgia Tech 28 - 23
South Florida Navy 63.92% Navy 28 - 7
Western Michigan Northern Illinois 65.43% Northern Illinois 42 - 28
Wake Forest California 66.04% California 46 - 36
LSU Alabama 66.35% Alabama 42 - 13
North Texas Army 66.73% Army 14 - 3
Oregon State San José State 69.28% San José State 24 - 13
Ball State Miami (OH) 69.63% Miami (OH) 27 - 21
Memphis Rice 69.83% Memphis 27 - 20
Middle Tennessee Liberty 71.67% Liberty 37 - 17
James Madison Georgia State 73.04% James Madison 38 - 7
Penn State Washington 73.72% Penn State 35 - 6
Louisiana Tech Jacksonville State 74.16% Jacksonville State 44 - 37
UCLA Iowa 74.33% UCLA 20 - 17
Vanderbilt South Carolina 75.46% South Carolina 28 - 7
Texas Florida 76.74% Texas 49 - 17
Central Michigan Bowling Green 80.0% Bowling Green 23 - 13
Kent State Ohio 80.82% Ohio 41 - 0
Hawai'i UNLV 81.71% UNLV 29 - 27
New Mexico State Western Kentucky 82.24% Western Kentucky 41 - 28
Washington State Utah State 82.51% Washington State 49 - 28
Notre Dame Florida State 83.68% Notre Dame 52 - 3
Oregon Maryland 85.99% Oregon 39 - 18
Boise State Nevada 87.17% Boise State 28 - 21
Tennessee Mississippi State 88.44% Tennessee 33 - 14
Tulane Temple 94.21% Tulane 52 - 6
Ohio State Purdue 94.71% Ohio State 45 - 0
32 ✅ : 14 ❌ (69.57%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 10 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Nebraska UCLA 50.01% UCLA 27 - 20
UTEP Middle Tennessee 50.25% Middle Tennessee 20 - 13
New Mexico Wyoming 50.37% Wyoming 49 - 45
Washington USC 50.79% Washington 26 - 21
Florida International* New Mexico State 50.87% Florida International 34 - 13
UCF Arizona 51.09% UCF 56 - 12
Nevada Colorado State 51.17% Colorado State 38 - 21
Iowa Wisconsin 51.48% Iowa 42 - 10
Illinois Minnesota 51.49% Minnesota 25 - 17
Baylor TCU 52.4% Baylor 37 - 34
Michigan Oregon 53.75% Oregon 38 - 17
South Carolina Texas A&M 53.93% South Carolina 44 - 20
UAB Tulsa 54.3% UAB 59 - 21
Troy Coastal Carolina 54.64% Troy 38 - 24
Penn State Ohio State 54.92% Ohio State 20 - 13
Florida State North Carolina 57.27% North Carolina 35 - 11
Texas State Louisiana 58.91% Louisiana 23 - 17
Clemson Louisville 58.95% Louisville 33 - 21
Syracuse Virginia Tech 59.32% Syracuse 38 - 31
Oklahoma State Arizona State 59.77% Arizona State 42 - 21
Florida Atlantic South Florida 59.81% South Florida 44 - 21
SMU Pittsburgh 61.43% SMU 48 - 25
NC State Stanford 61.73% NC State 59 - 28
Purdue Northwestern 62.37% Northwestern 26 - 20
Liberty Jacksonville State 62.42% Jacksonville State 31 - 21
Miami Duke 66.56% Miami 53 - 31
Akron Buffalo 66.75% Buffalo 41 - 30
Auburn Vanderbilt 66.76% Vanderbilt 17 - 7
Army Air Force 70.14% Army 20 - 3
Eastern Michigan Toledo 70.31% Toledo 29 - 28
Rice Navy 73.06% Rice 24 - 10
Arkansas Ole Miss 73.88% Ole Miss 63 - 31
Michigan State Indiana 74.62% Indiana 47 - 10
Western Kentucky Kennesaw State 75.06% Western Kentucky 31 - 14
Fresno State Hawai'i 76.33% Hawai'i 21 - 20
Georgia* Florida 77.63% Georgia 34 - 20
Iowa State Texas Tech 77.88% Texas Tech 23 - 22
Tennessee Kentucky 77.89% Tennessee 28 - 18
South Alabama Georgia Southern 80.76% Georgia Southern 34 - 30
Charlotte Tulane 84.17% Tulane 34 - 3
Boise State San Diego State 84.81% Boise State 56 - 24
Houston Kansas State 85.35% Houston 24 - 19
Oklahoma Maine 97.79% Oklahoma 59 - 14
28 ✅ : 15 ❌ (65.12%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 9 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Wyoming Utah State 50.73% Utah State 27 - 25
Stanford Wake Forest 51.09% Wake Forest 27 - 24
Baylor Oklahoma State 51.2% Baylor 38 - 28
Indiana Washington 52.23% Indiana 31 - 17
Kentucky Auburn 52.54% Auburn 24 - 10
Pittsburgh Syracuse 53.02% Pittsburgh 41 - 13
Old Dominion Georgia Southern 53.17% Old Dominion 47 - 19
Virginia North Carolina 53.32% North Carolina 41 - 14
Virginia Tech Georgia Tech 53.35% Virginia Tech 21 - 6
Fresno State San José State 54.27% Fresno State 33 - 10
Texas A&M LSU 54.71% Texas A&M 38 - 23
Toledo Bowling Green 54.96% Bowling Green 41 - 26
Mississippi State Arkansas 56.23% Arkansas 58 - 25
Duke SMU 56.86% SMU 28 - 27
Colorado State New Mexico 57.01% Colorado State 17 - 6
Minnesota Maryland 57.46% Minnesota 48 - 23
Arizona West Virginia 58.14% West Virginia 31 - 26
Arkansas State Troy 59.23% Arkansas State 34 - 31
TCU Texas Tech 60.59% TCU 35 - 34
UNLV Boise State 61.35% Boise State 29 - 24
California Oregon State 62.52% California 44 - 7
Miami Florida State 63.06% Miami 36 - 14
Ole Miss Oklahoma 63.55% Ole Miss 26 - 14
Ohio Buffalo 63.64% Ohio 47 - 16
Hawai'i Nevada 64.68% Hawai'i 34 - 13
Colorado Cincinnati 64.96% Colorado 34 - 23
Wisconsin Penn State 65.36% Penn State 28 - 13
East Carolina Temple 66.05% East Carolina 56 - 34
UCF BYU 67.58% BYU 37 - 24
Louisiana Tech UTEP 67.63% Louisiana Tech 14 - 10
Alabama Missouri 70.35% Alabama 34 - 0
Boston College Louisville 70.54% Louisville 31 - 27
North Texas Tulane 71.93% Tulane 45 - 37
Miami (OH) Central Michigan 72.62% Miami (OH) 46 - 7
Iowa Northwestern 72.89% Iowa 40 - 14
Jacksonville State Middle Tennessee 73.35% Jacksonville State 42 - 20
Houston Utah 73.94% Houston 17 - 14
USC Rutgers 74.22% USC 42 - 20
Ball State Northern Illinois 74.92% Ball State 25 - 23
Oregon Illinois 76.86% Oregon 38 - 9
Kansas State Kansas 78.01% Kansas State 29 - 27
Michigan Michigan State 81.63% Michigan 24 - 17
Akron Eastern Michigan 82.52% Akron 25 - 21
Memphis Charlotte 83.1% Memphis 33 - 28
San Diego State Washington State 83.23% Washington State 29 - 26
Western Michigan Kent State 83.56% Western Michigan 52 - 21
Navy* Notre Dame 87.62% Notre Dame 51 - 14
Ohio State Nebraska 88.6% Ohio State 21 - 17
Kennesaw State Liberty 92.31% Kennesaw State 27 - 24
Vanderbilt Texas 93.04% Texas 27 - 24
37 ✅ : 13 ❌ (74.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 8 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Old Dominion Texas State 50.02% Old Dominion 24 - 14
Florida Kentucky 50.09% Florida 48 - 20
Air Force Colorado State 51.83% Colorado State 21 - 13
New Mexico State Louisiana Tech 52.11% New Mexico State 33 - 30
Rutgers UCLA 52.14% UCLA 35 - 32
Indiana Nebraska 52.39% Indiana 56 - 7
Northern Illinois Toledo 52.94% Toledo 13 - 6
Marshall Georgia State 53.18% Marshall 35 - 20
Duke Florida State 53.91% Duke 23 - 16
Temple Tulsa 55.16% Temple 20 - 10
Texas Georgia 55.63% Georgia 30 - 15
Texas Tech Baylor 56.22% Baylor 59 - 35
Eastern Michigan Central Michigan 56.35% Eastern Michigan 38 - 34
Utah State New Mexico 56.58% Utah State 14 - 0
Tennessee Alabama 57.66% Tennessee 24 - 17
Kansas* Houston 58.06% Kansas 42 - 14
Nevada Fresno State 58.19% Fresno State 24 - 21
Louisville Miami 58.19% Miami 52 - 45
Cincinnati Arizona State 58.33% Cincinnati 24 - 14
Coastal Carolina Louisiana 58.36% Louisiana 34 - 24
Buffalo Western Michigan 58.5% Western Michigan 48 - 41
Miami (OH) Ohio 59.16% Miami (OH) 30 - 20
Oregon State UNLV 60.9% UNLV 33 - 25
UTEP Florida International 61.12% UTEP 30 - 21
Arkansas LSU 62.04% LSU 34 - 10
Arizona Colorado 62.22% Colorado 34 - 7
Middle Tennessee Kennesaw State 62.8% Middle Tennessee 14 - 5
California NC State 63.17% NC State 24 - 23
BYU Oklahoma State 63.21% BYU 38 - 35
Oklahoma South Carolina 63.73% South Carolina 35 - 9
West Virginia Kansas State 64.93% Kansas State 45 - 18
Maryland USC 65.02% Maryland 29 - 28
Utah TCU 65.08% TCU 13 - 7
Missouri Auburn 65.13% Missouri 21 - 17
Virginia Tech Boston College 65.17% Virginia Tech 42 - 21
South Alabama Troy 65.39% South Alabama 25 - 9
San José State Wyoming 65.96% San José State 24 - 14
South Florida UAB 68.33% South Florida 35 - 25
Navy Charlotte 72.2% Navy 51 - 17
Mississippi State Texas A&M 72.86% Texas A&M 34 - 24
Northwestern* Wisconsin 73.19% Wisconsin 23 - 3
Georgia Southern James Madison 75.06% Georgia Southern 28 - 14
Memphis North Texas 76.55% Memphis 52 - 44
Army East Carolina 77.55% Army 45 - 28
Iowa State UCF 77.6% Iowa State 38 - 35
Illinois Michigan 78.68% Illinois 21 - 7
Clemson Virginia 79.86% Clemson 48 - 31
Bowling Green Kent State 81.15% Bowling Green 27 - 6
Stanford SMU 81.76% SMU 40 - 10
Georgia Tech* Notre Dame 82.72% Notre Dame 31 - 13
Vanderbilt Ball State 83.17% Vanderbilt 24 - 14
Michigan State Iowa 83.98% Michigan State 32 - 20
Washington State Hawai'i 86.35% Washington State 42 - 10
Tulane Rice 87.43% Tulane 24 - 10
Purdue Oregon 93.95% Oregon 35 - 0
33 ✅ : 22 ❌ (60.0%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 7 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Iowa Washington 50.31% Iowa 40 - 16
Wyoming San Diego State 50.79% San Diego State 27 - 24
NC State Syracuse 50.96% Syracuse 24 - 17
Texas State Arkansas State 51.37% Texas State 41 - 9
Pittsburgh California 51.68% Pittsburgh 17 - 15
Florida Atlantic North Texas 53.12% North Texas 41 - 37
New Mexico Air Force 53.94% New Mexico 52 - 37
Rutgers Wisconsin 57.59% Wisconsin 42 - 7
West Virginia Iowa State 57.97% Iowa State 28 - 16
Louisiana Tech Middle Tennessee 57.99% Louisiana Tech 48 - 21
North Carolina Georgia Tech 58.35% Georgia Tech 41 - 34
Georgia State Old Dominion 58.48% Old Dominion 21 - 14
Georgia Southern Marshall 58.52% Georgia Southern 24 - 23
UCF Cincinnati 60.24% Cincinnati 19 - 13
Jacksonville State New Mexico State 61.4% Jacksonville State 54 - 13
Eastern Michigan Miami (OH) 61.66% Miami (OH) 38 - 14
James Madison Coastal Carolina 62.36% James Madison 39 - 7
Kent State Ball State 62.39% Ball State 37 - 35
UCLA Minnesota 62.49% Minnesota 21 - 17
LSU Ole Miss 62.64% LSU 29 - 26
Bowling Green Northern Illinois 63.57% Northern Illinois 17 - 7
Arizona State Utah 64.05% Arizona State 27 - 19
BYU Arizona 65.5% BYU 41 - 19
Fresno State Washington State 66.15% Washington State 25 - 17
South Florida Memphis 66.65% Memphis 21 - 3
Buffalo Toledo 67.62% Buffalo 30 - 15
Colorado Kansas State 67.68% Kansas State 31 - 28
Oklahoma* Texas 67.86% Texas 34 - 3
Illinois Purdue 67.95% Illinois 50 - 49
Virginia Louisville 68.22% Louisville 24 - 20
Oregon Ohio State 68.76% Oregon 32 - 31
Kentucky Vanderbilt 69.33% Vanderbilt 20 - 13
Western Kentucky UTEP 69.42% Western Kentucky 44 - 17
Maryland Northwestern 69.9% Northwestern 37 - 10
USC Penn State 70.14% Penn State 33 - 30
Central Michigan Ohio 71.08% Ohio 27 - 25
Colorado State San José State 71.61% Colorado State 31 - 24
Liberty Florida International 72.34% Liberty 32 - 24
Tennessee Florida 75.08% Tennessee 23 - 17
Western Michigan Akron 76.79% Western Michigan 34 - 24
Utah State UNLV 77.6% UNLV 50 - 34
Alabama South Carolina 78.8% Alabama 27 - 25
Army UAB 78.91% Army 44 - 10
Nevada Oregon State 79.8% Nevada 42 - 37
Wake Forest Clemson 83.85% Clemson 49 - 14
Hawai'i Boise State 87.44% Boise State 28 - 7
Notre Dame Stanford 89.46% Notre Dame 49 - 7
Georgia Mississippi State 92.38% Georgia 41 - 31
35 ✅ : 13 ❌ (72.92%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 6 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Texas A&M Missouri 50.09% Texas A&M 41 - 10
Virginia Boston College 50.64% Virginia 24 - 14
Coastal Carolina Old Dominion 50.94% Coastal Carolina 45 - 37
Florida UCF 51.25% Florida 24 - 13
North Carolina Pittsburgh 52.62% Pittsburgh 34 - 24
Air Force Navy 52.73% Navy 34 - 7
Arizona State Kansas 54.18% Arizona State 35 - 31
Wisconsin Purdue 55.7% Wisconsin 52 - 6
Georgia Tech Duke 55.9% Georgia Tech 24 - 14
Toledo Miami (OH) 57.97% Toledo 30 - 20
Stanford Virginia Tech 59.59% Virginia Tech 31 - 7
Florida State Clemson 59.79% Clemson 29 - 13
UNLV Syracuse 59.99% Syracuse 44 - 41
Minnesota USC 61.25% Minnesota 24 - 17
South Carolina Ole Miss 62.05% Ole Miss 27 - 3
NC State Wake Forest 64.12% Wake Forest 34 - 30
San Diego State Hawai'i 64.7% San Diego State 27 - 24
Ball State Western Michigan 65.49% Western Michigan 45 - 42
Washington Michigan 65.57% Washington 27 - 17
California Miami 67.31% Miami 39 - 38
Oklahoma State West Virginia 67.32% West Virginia 38 - 14
Arizona Texas Tech 67.78% Texas Tech 28 - 22
Louisville SMU 68.21% SMU 34 - 27
Northwestern* Indiana 68.75% Indiana 41 - 24
San José State Nevada 68.89% San José State 35 - 31
TCU Houston 69.64% Houston 30 - 19
Charlotte East Carolina 70.13% Charlotte 55 - 24
Arkansas State South Alabama 73.72% Arkansas State 18 - 16
UAB Tulane 74.0% Tulane 71 - 20
Troy Texas State 76.57% Texas State 38 - 17
Iowa State Baylor 76.75% Iowa State 43 - 21
Arkansas Tennessee 77.23% Arkansas 19 - 14
Tulsa Army 78.09% Army 49 - 7
Penn State UCLA 84.24% Penn State 27 - 11
Oregon Michigan State 84.76% Oregon 31 - 10
Oregon State Colorado State 85.54% Oregon State 39 - 31
Georgia Auburn 85.96% Georgia 31 - 13
Kennesaw State Jacksonville State 88.12% Jacksonville State 63 - 24
Boise State Utah State 88.6% Boise State 62 - 30
Akron Bowling Green 89.12% Bowling Green 27 - 20
Vanderbilt Alabama 95.82% Vanderbilt 40 - 35
25 ✅ : 16 ❌ (60.98%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 5 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Wake Forest Louisiana 50.34% Louisiana 41 - 38
UNLV Fresno State 50.41% UNLV 59 - 14
Kansas* TCU 50.42% TCU 38 - 27
Georgia State Georgia Southern 50.48% Georgia Southern 38 - 21
Indiana Maryland 52.18% Indiana 42 - 28
SMU Florida State 52.41% SMU 42 - 16
Bowling Green Old Dominion 52.7% Old Dominion 30 - 27
Texas Tech Cincinnati 53.88% Texas Tech 44 - 41
Boise State Washington State 55.16% Boise State 45 - 24
UAB Navy 55.98% Navy 41 - 18
New Mexico State New Mexico 56.32% New Mexico 50 - 40
Florida International* Louisiana Tech 57.25% Florida International 17 - 10
NC State Northern Illinois 57.31% NC State 24 - 17
USC Wisconsin 58.34% USC 38 - 21
Alabama Georgia 59.84% Alabama 41 - 34
Boston College Western Kentucky 60.03% Boston College 21 - 20
Baylor BYU 61.02% BYU 34 - 28
Marshall Western Michigan 63.07% Marshall 27 - 20
Purdue Nebraska 63.2% Nebraska 28 - 10
Kansas State Oklahoma State 63.52% Kansas State 42 - 20
Duke North Carolina 63.64% Duke 21 - 20
North Texas Tulsa 64.19% North Texas 52 - 20
Wyoming Air Force 65.7% Wyoming 31 - 19
Texas A&M* Arkansas 65.94% Texas A&M 21 - 17
Central Michigan San Diego State 66.66% Central Michigan 22 - 21
Rice Charlotte 68.85% Charlotte 21 - 20
Notre Dame Louisville 70.05% Notre Dame 31 - 24
Rutgers Washington 70.66% Rutgers 21 - 18
Ole Miss Kentucky 71.76% Kentucky 20 - 17
Auburn Oklahoma 72.09% Oklahoma 27 - 21
Miami Virginia Tech 73.19% Miami 38 - 34
Utah Arizona 73.2% Arizona 23 - 10
LSU South Alabama 74.11% LSU 42 - 10
Temple Army 75.52% Army 42 - 14
Tulane South Florida 75.74% Tulane 45 - 10
Houston Iowa State 76.11% Iowa State 20 - 0
Kent State Eastern Michigan 77.34% Eastern Michigan 52 - 33
Clemson Stanford 78.67% Clemson 40 - 14
UCF Colorado 79.82% Colorado 48 - 21
Penn State Illinois 80.21% Penn State 21 - 7
Michigan Minnesota 80.86% Michigan 27 - 24
UCLA Oregon 81.48% Oregon 34 - 13
Syracuse Holy Cross 82.19% Syracuse 42 - 14
James Madison Ball State 83.02% James Madison 63 - 7
Ohio Akron 83.07% Ohio 30 - 10
Memphis Middle Tennessee 88.67% Memphis 24 - 7
Michigan State Ohio State 91.99% Ohio State 38 - 7
Texas Mississippi State 93.67% Texas 35 - 13
32 ✅ : 16 ❌ (66.67%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 4 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
SMU TCU 50.92% SMU 66 - 42
Central Michigan Ball State 51.1% Central Michigan 37 - 34
West Virginia Kansas 51.24% West Virginia 32 - 28
North Texas Wyoming 51.84% North Texas 44 - 17
Louisiana Tech Tulsa 51.95% Tulsa 23 - 20
Colorado Baylor 52.19% Colorado 38 - 31
Cincinnati Houston 53.15% Cincinnati 34 - 0
Nebraska Illinois 53.17% Illinois 31 - 24
Coastal Carolina Virginia 53.41% Virginia 43 - 24
Oklahoma Tennessee 53.46% Tennessee 25 - 15
Texas Tech Arizona State 54.07% Texas Tech 30 - 22
Boston College Michigan State 54.47% Boston College 23 - 19
Virginia Tech Rutgers 54.61% Rutgers 26 - 23
North Carolina James Madison 55.13% James Madison 70 - 50
Oklahoma State Utah 56.56% Utah 22 - 19
Colorado State UTEP 56.57% Colorado State 27 - 17
Oregon State Purdue 57.49% Oregon State 38 - 21
Mississippi State Florida 57.66% Florida 45 - 28
Army Rice 58.09% Army 37 - 14
Minnesota Iowa 59.7% Iowa 31 - 14
Florida International* Monmouth 61.08% Monmouth 45 - 42
Syracuse Stanford 61.9% Stanford 26 - 24
Auburn Arkansas 63.09% Arkansas 24 - 14
Western Kentucky Toledo 63.29% Western Kentucky 26 - 21
Liberty East Carolina 63.52% Liberty 35 - 24
Nevada Eastern Washington 63.91% Nevada 49 - 16
Washington State San José State 66.1% Washington State 54 - 52
BYU Kansas State 69.27% BYU 38 - 9
Florida State California 69.42% Florida State 14 - 9
Northern Illinois Buffalo 69.7% Buffalo 23 - 20
Navy Memphis 70.41% Navy 56 - 44
Louisiana Tulane 71.26% Tulane 41 - 33
Kentucky Ohio 72.54% Kentucky 41 - 6
Clemson NC State 72.71% Clemson 59 - 35
New Mexico Fresno State 73.9% Fresno State 38 - 21
Louisville Georgia Tech 74.0% Louisville 45 - 19
Temple Utah State 74.18% Temple 45 - 29
Pittsburgh Youngstown State 74.37% Pittsburgh 73 - 17
Middle Tennessee Duke 74.43% Duke 45 - 17
LSU UCLA 74.99% LSU 34 - 17
Washington Northwestern 77.11% Washington 24 - 5
Michigan USC 78.61% Michigan 27 - 24
Texas A&M Bowling Green 79.44% Texas A&M 26 - 20
South Florida Miami 80.98% Miami 50 - 15
Missouri Vanderbilt 82.82% Missouri 30 - 27
Iowa State Arkansas State 83.14% Iowa State 52 - 7
Notre Dame Miami (OH) 85.81% Notre Dame 28 - 3
Indiana Charlotte 87.12% Indiana 52 - 14
Maryland Villanova 88.08% Maryland 38 - 20
Troy Florida A&M 91.15% Troy 34 - 12
Boise State Portland State 92.46% Boise State 56 - 14
South Carolina Akron 95.18% South Carolina 50 - 7
Ole Miss Georgia Southern 96.43% Ole Miss 52 - 13
Penn State Kent State 99.24% Penn State 56 - 0
39 ✅ : 15 ❌ (72.22%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 3 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Charlotte Gardner-Webb 50.12% Charlotte 27 - 26
Miami (OH) Cincinnati 51.74% Cincinnati 27 - 16
South Carolina LSU 52.86% LSU 36 - 33
Middle Tennessee Western Kentucky 53.62% Western Kentucky 49 - 21
TCU UCF 53.73% UCF 35 - 34
Pittsburgh West Virginia 54.59% Pittsburgh 38 - 34
Baylor Air Force 55.94% Baylor 31 - 3
Houston Rice 56.02% Houston 33 - 7
Oregon State Oregon 58.53% Oregon 49 - 14
UCLA Indiana 59.44% Indiana 42 - 13
Kansas* UNLV 60.16% UNLV 23 - 20
Florida Atlantic Florida International 60.37% Florida Atlantic 38 - 20
Eastern Michigan Jacksonville State 61.54% Eastern Michigan 37 - 34
Colorado State Colorado 62.69% Colorado 28 - 9
Florida Texas A&M 64.24% Texas A&M 33 - 20
Akron Colgate 64.64% Akron 31 - 20
Old Dominion Virginia Tech 66.3% Virginia Tech 37 - 17
Mississippi State Toledo 66.59% Toledo 41 - 17
Fresno State New Mexico State 67.67% Fresno State 48 - 0
Virginia Maryland 67.94% Maryland 27 - 13
Iowa Troy 69.45% Iowa 38 - 21
Washington* Washington State 71.17% Washington State 24 - 19
Liberty UTEP 71.52% Liberty 28 - 10
Georgia State Vanderbilt 72.61% Georgia State 36 - 32
Texas Tech North Texas 72.62% Texas Tech 63 - 21
Oklahoma Tulane 72.7% Oklahoma 34 - 19
Purdue Notre Dame 73.52% Notre Dame 66 - 7
Florida State Memphis 73.9% Memphis 20 - 12
Wisconsin Alabama 75.3% Alabama 42 - 10
Minnesota Nevada 77.78% Minnesota 27 - 0
NC State Louisiana Tech 78.14% NC State 30 - 20
Wyoming BYU 78.26% BYU 34 - 14
Arkansas UAB 80.12% Arkansas 37 - 27
Kansas State Arizona 80.5% Kansas State 31 - 7
Nebraska Northern Iowa 81.2% Nebraska 34 - 3
Missouri Boston College 82.43% Missouri 27 - 21
Western Michigan Bethune-Cookman 82.63% Western Michigan 59 - 31
Wake Forest Ole Miss 83.2% Ole Miss 40 - 6
Utah State Utah 83.51% Utah 38 - 21
San José State Kennesaw State 83.67% San José State 31 - 10
Tulsa Oklahoma State 85.92% Oklahoma State 45 - 10
Miami Ball State 87.11% Miami 62 - 0
Kentucky Georgia 87.74% Georgia 13 - 12
Temple Coastal Carolina 88.17% Coastal Carolina 28 - 20
Illinois Central Michigan 88.86% Illinois 30 - 9
Auburn New Mexico 89.45% Auburn 45 - 19
Northwestern* Eastern Illinois 90.1% Northwestern 31 - 7
Ohio Morgan State 93.35% Ohio 21 - 6
South Alabama Northwestern State 93.89% South Alabama 87 - 10
Michigan Arkansas State 97.32% Michigan 28 - 18
Georgia Tech VMI 97.81% Georgia Tech 59 - 7
North Carolina North Carolina Central 98.18% North Carolina 45 - 10
Tennessee Kent State 99.35% Tennessee 71 - 0
Georgia Southern South Carolina State 99.89% Georgia Southern 42 - 14
45 ✅ : 9 ❌ (83.33%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 2 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Air Force San José State 50.15% San José State 17 - 7
Cincinnati Pittsburgh 50.48% Pittsburgh 28 - 27
Old Dominion East Carolina 50.56% East Carolina 20 - 14
Memphis Troy 50.89% Memphis 38 - 17
Ohio South Alabama 51.33% Ohio 27 - 20
Florida Atlantic Army 51.63% Army 24 - 7
Nevada Georgia Southern 52.23% Georgia Southern 20 - 17
Arkansas State Tulsa 52.44% Arkansas State 28 - 24
Wake Forest Virginia 53.22% Virginia 31 - 30
Illinois Kansas 53.68% Illinois 23 - 17
Syracuse Georgia Tech 53.87% Syracuse 31 - 28
SMU BYU 54.21% BYU 18 - 15
Arizona State Mississippi State 54.68% Arizona State 30 - 23
Wyoming Idaho 55.31% Idaho 17 - 13
Ball State Missouri State 55.81% Ball State 36 - 28
Iowa Iowa State 55.82% Iowa State 20 - 19
Washington State Texas Tech 56.73% Washington State 37 - 16
UTEP Southern Utah 56.85% Southern Utah 27 - 24
Oklahoma State Arkansas 57.08% Oklahoma State 39 - 31
Kentucky South Carolina 60.77% South Carolina 31 - 6
Tulane Kansas State 61.06% Kansas State 34 - 27
Northwestern* Duke 63.56% Duke 26 - 20
New Mexico State Liberty 63.56% Liberty 30 - 24
NC State* Tennessee 64.98% Tennessee 51 - 10
Virginia Tech Marshall 65.45% Virginia Tech 31 - 14
Kent State St Francis (PA) 65.96% St Francis (PA) 23 - 17
Maryland Michigan State 68.07% Michigan State 27 - 24
Michigan Texas 68.43% Texas 31 - 12
Auburn California 68.66% California 21 - 14
Navy Temple 69.03% Navy 38 - 11
Clemson Appalachian State 69.55% Clemson 66 - 20
Nebraska Colorado 69.67% Nebraska 28 - 10
Georgia State Chattanooga 69.8% Georgia State 24 - 21
Fresno State Sacramento State 71.33% Fresno State 46 - 30
UCF Sam Houston State 71.53% UCF 45 - 14
Louisiana Monroe UAB 71.95% Louisiana Monroe 32 - 6
Florida International* Central Michigan 72.5% Florida International 52 - 16
Wisconsin South Dakota 74.29% Wisconsin 27 - 13
Coastal Carolina William & Mary 74.59% Coastal Carolina 40 - 21
Western Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 76.11% Western Kentucky 31 - 0
Utah Baylor 79.08% Utah 23 - 12
San Diego State Oregon State 79.54% Oregon State 21 - 0
Oregon Boise State 79.97% Oregon 37 - 34
Florida Samford 80.12% Florida 45 - 7
UNLV Utah Tech 82.4% UNLV 72 - 14
Colorado State Northern Colorado 84.09% Colorado State 38 - 17
Vanderbilt Alcorn State 84.8% Vanderbilt 55 - 0
Boston College Duquesne 85.58% Boston College 56 - 0
USC Utah State 86.2% USC 48 - 0
Rutgers Akron 86.37% Rutgers 49 - 17
Toledo UMass 87.11% Toledo 38 - 23
Arizona Northern Arizona 87.29% Arizona 22 - 10
Louisville Jacksonville State 87.62% Louisville 49 - 14
Stanford Cal Poly 88.42% Stanford 41 - 7
Oklahoma Houston 88.63% Oklahoma 16 - 12
Minnesota Rhode Island 88.95% Minnesota 48 - 0
Kennesaw State Louisiana 89.32% Louisiana 34 - 10
West Virginia Albany 89.4% West Virginia 49 - 14
Notre Dame Northern Illinois 89.5% Northern Illinois 16 - 14
James Madison Gardner-Webb 89.66% James Madison 13 - 6
Missouri Buffalo 90.75% Missouri 38 - 0
Washington Eastern Michigan 90.87% Washington 30 - 9
Rice Texas Southern 92.6% Rice 69 - 7
Penn State Bowling Green 94.55% Penn State 34 - 27
Alabama South Florida 94.68% Alabama 42 - 16
LSU Nicholls 94.84% LSU 44 - 21
Ole Miss Middle Tennessee 94.86% Ole Miss 52 - 3
North Texas Stephen F. Austin 94.99% North Texas 35 - 20
TCU Long Island University 95.7% TCU 45 - 0
Indiana Western Illinois 96.16% Indiana 77 - 3
Miami Florida A&M 97.49% Miami 56 - 9
Texas A&M McNeese 97.7% Texas A&M 52 - 7
Ohio State Western Michigan 97.79% Ohio State 57 - 0
Georgia Tennessee Tech 99.3% Georgia 48 - 0
55 ✅ : 19 ❌ (74.32%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.

Week 1 Predictions

Sorted from nail-biters to blow outs

Home Team Away Team Win Probability Winner Score Outcome
Florida Miami 51.07% Miami 41 - 17
Minnesota North Carolina 51.63% North Carolina 19 - 17
Arizona State Wyoming 52.52% Arizona State 48 - 7
Houston UNLV 53.2% UNLV 27 - 7
Arkansas State Central Arkansas 54.38% Arkansas State 34 - 31
Northwestern* Miami (OH) 55.1% Northwestern 13 - 6
Georgia Tech Georgia State 55.33% Georgia Tech 35 - 12
Oklahoma State South Dakota State 56.4% Oklahoma State 44 - 20
Rice Sam Houston State 57.13% Sam Houston State 34 - 14
Louisiana Tech Nicholls 57.81% Louisiana Tech 25 - 17
Michigan State Florida Atlantic 57.84% Michigan State 16 - 10
Syracuse Ohio 61.63% Syracuse 38 - 22
Texas A&M Notre Dame 62.59% Notre Dame 23 - 13
New Mexico Montana State 62.73% Montana State 35 - 31
Colorado North Dakota State 63.47% Colorado 31 - 26
New Mexico State Southeast Missouri State 68.2% New Mexico State 23 - 16
LSU* USC 68.24% USC 27 - 20
Georgia Southern Boise State 69.08% Boise State 56 - 45
Vanderbilt Virginia Tech 70.68% Vanderbilt 34 - 27
Jacksonville State Coastal Carolina 72.12% Coastal Carolina 55 - 27
UMass Eastern Michigan 72.27% Eastern Michigan 28 - 14
Buffalo Lafayette 75.86% Buffalo 30 - 13
Stanford TCU 76.15% TCU 34 - 27
San José State Sacramento State 76.53% San José State 42 - 24
Georgia* Clemson 77.35% Georgia 34 - 3
Troy Nevada 77.64% Nevada 28 - 26
Virginia Richmond 78.44% Virginia 34 - 13
South Alabama North Texas 79.19% North Texas 52 - 38
BYU Southern Illinois 81.01% BYU 41 - 13
Bowling Green Fordham 81.68% Bowling Green 41 - 17
Nebraska UTEP 82.06% Nebraska 40 - 7
Georgia Tech* Florida State 82.09% Georgia Tech 24 - 21
Texas Tech Abilene Christian 82.13% Texas Tech 52 - 51
West Virginia Penn State 83.18% Penn State 34 - 12
South Carolina Old Dominion 83.21% South Carolina 23 - 19
Tulsa Northwestern State 84.48% Tulsa 62 - 28
Iowa Illinois State 84.51% Iowa 40 - 0
Middle Tennessee Tennessee Tech 84.59% Middle Tennessee 32 - 25
Baylor Tarleton State 84.75% Baylor 45 - 3
Navy Bucknell 84.94% Navy 49 - 21
Liberty Campbell 85.42% Liberty 41 - 24
San Diego State Texas A&M-Commerce 86.09% San Diego State 45 - 14
Nevada SMU 86.45% SMU 29 - 24
Wisconsin Western Michigan 87.21% Wisconsin 28 - 14
California UC Davis 87.27% California 14 - 13
Hawai'i UCLA 87.45% UCLA 16 - 13
Indiana Florida International 87.94% Indiana 31 - 7
Pittsburgh Kent State 88.14% Pittsburgh 55 - 24
Washington State Portland State 88.39% Washington State 70 - 30
South Florida Bethune-Cookman 88.48% South Florida 48 - 3
Utah State Robert Morris 88.93% Utah State 36 - 14
Texas State Lamar 89.11% Texas State 34 - 27
Army Lehigh 89.37% Army 42 - 7
Tulane Southeastern Louisiana 89.58% Tulane 52 - 0
Kentucky Southern Mississippi 89.73% Kentucky 31 - 0
UCF New Hampshire 89.84% UCF 57 - 3
Mississippi State Eastern Kentucky 90.05% Mississippi State 56 - 7
Duke Elon 90.14% Duke 26 - 3
Charlotte James Madison 90.98% James Madison 30 - 7
NC State Western Carolina 91.61% NC State 38 - 21
Air Force Merrimack 91.69% Air Force 21 - 6
Cincinnati Towson 92.18% Cincinnati 38 - 20
UAB Alcorn State 92.33% UAB 41 - 3
Northern Illinois Western Illinois 92.39% Northern Illinois 54 - 15
Maryland Connecticut 92.53% Maryland 50 - 7
Iowa State North Dakota 93.25% Iowa State 21 - 3
Louisville Austin Peay 93.57% Louisville 62 - 0
Texas Colorado State 93.74% Texas 52 - 0
Rutgers Howard 93.87% Rutgers 38 - 7
Arizona New Mexico 93.94% Arizona 61 - 39
Memphis North Alabama 94.32% Memphis 40 - 0
Utah Southern Utah 94.38% Utah 49 - 0
Alabama Western Kentucky 95.07% Alabama 63 - 0
Kansas State UT Martin 95.43% Kansas State 41 - 6
East Carolina Norfolk State 95.6% East Carolina 42 - 3
Washington Weber State 95.64% Washington 35 - 3
Purdue Indiana State 95.65% Purdue 49 - 0
Ole Miss Furman 95.74% Ole Miss 76 - 0
Oregon Idaho 95.8% Oregon 24 - 14
Illinois Eastern Illinois 96.04% Illinois 45 - 0
Wake Forest North Carolina A&T 96.08% Wake Forest 45 - 13
Michigan Fresno State 96.11% Michigan 30 - 10
Marshall Stony Brook 96.18% Marshall 45 - 3
Toledo Duquesne 96.4% Toledo 49 - 10
Louisiana Grambling 96.78% Louisiana 40 - 10
Tennessee Chattanooga 97.93% Tennessee 69 - 3
Oregon State Idaho State 98.57% Oregon State 38 - 15
Oklahoma Temple 98.62% Oklahoma 51 - 3
Missouri Murray State 98.96% Missouri 51 - 0
Auburn Alabama A&M 99.2% Auburn 73 - 3
SMU Houston Christian 99.38% SMU 59 - 7
Ohio State Akron 99.43% Ohio State 52 - 6
Arkansas* Arkansas-Pine Bluff 99.57% Arkansas 70 - 0
Kansas* Lindenwood 100.0% Kansas 48 - 3
86 ✅ : 8 ❌ (91.49%)

* Indicates that the game was played at a neutral site.